Monday, July 21, 2008

Predix Revamp

The Dark Knight was...wow.

Anyways, we need this desperately. Here we go...

BEST PICTURE
1. Changeling (it's Changeling and not The Exchange. For now at least. And I'm not sure if I see this winning, but I really can't select a frontrunner right now...)
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. The Road
4. Vicky Cristina Barcelona
5. Doubt (it kills me not to include Dark Knight, but I think it'll fall short here)

BEST DIRECTOR
1. David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (I guess...)
2. Clint Eastwood - Changeling
3. John Hillcoat - The Road
4. Woody Allen - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
5. Christopher Nolan - The Dark Knight

BEST ACTOR
1. Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
2. Viggo Mortensen - The Road
3. Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
4. Benicio del Toro - Che
5. Leonardo DiCaprio - Revolutionary Road

BEST ACTRESS
1. Meryl Streep - Doubt
2. Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road
3. Angelina Jolie - Changeling
4. Cate Blanchett - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight (if there's any justice in the world)
2. Robert Downey, Jr. - The Soloist
3. Liev Schreiber - Defiance
4. Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
5. John Malkovich - Burn After Reading

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Penelope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
2. Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Viola Davis - Doubt
4. Samantha Morton - Synecdoche, New York
5. Frances McDormand - Burn After Reading (I don't know...)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Vicky Cristina Barcelona
2. WALL-E
3. Changeling
4. Burn After Reading
5. Synecdoche, New York

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. Doubt
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. The Road
4. Frost/Nixon
5. The Dark Knight

6 comments:

Unknown said...

**EXTREMELY MINOR SPOILERS FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO HAVEN'T SEEN THE DARK KNIGHT YET, AKA, NOBODY**

Heath Ledger deserves an Oscar solely for the scene where he walks away from the burning hospital in the nurse's gown. His stature, his face, his whole attitude, appearance, mannerisms, subtlety...wow. It'll take a lot for someone else to surpass him this year.

David Tolentino said...

With 6 months of movies yet to be seen, especially those contending during Oscar season, I doubt very much Chris Nolan will make the top 5. Still hoping on a nomination for Ledger; as for winning, it's still a long road ahead and wishful thinking on our part.

Anonymous said...

Im a little dissapointed with your predictions guys. i hold your oppinion very high up and to see you include Woody Allen in best director and Che for any awards at all is horrendous. Also where is Michael Sheen for Frost/Nixon ? Come on, you got to keep your A game up, and star updating the blog more frequently, come on... your better than that

Unknown said...

I hate to sound defensive here, but I don't see anything wrong with our predictions. How is putting Woody Allen as a potential nominee "horrendous"? Vicky Cristina Barcelona was a hit at Cannes... Also, as of today, Michael Sheen is no more likely than John Malkovich or Philip Seymour Hoffman.

David Tolentino said...

And to be fair to my colleagues, with 6 months to go before the formal announcement of the nominations and films we haven't heard of yet, it is obvious our predictions will change as time goes. I see it as fun to compare them, so we'll see.

Smarttopper said...

Just read the first non-trade review of 'Vicky Cristina Barcelona' in this week's New Yorker, and it seems to bolster these guys' opinion of the movie, Tyler. It's by David Denby, whom I trust completely. If you care, it's here:

http://www.newyorker.com/arts/critics/cinema/2008/08/11/080811crci_cinema_denby

His second review, of 'Elegy', is primarily a rave for Ben Kingsley, so you might want to consider him for your short list as well. From what I read about films at Cannes, 'Che' is going to be a hard sell so Benicio might have to fall off. Soderbergh is a Hollywood darling, but at over four hours, good luck Steve.