BEST ACTRESS
1. Julianne Moore-Savage Grace-Early reviews have been excellent, and she's one of the best actresses of her generation.
2. Laura Linney-The Savages-She is adored by everyone in Hollywood, but the comedy genre may limit her chances to win.
3. Cate Blanchett-The Golden Age-She looks great, and the trailer is by far the best of the year (even more so than Rendition).
4. Jodie Foster-The Brave One-She's gotten good reviews, but I'm still unsure.
5. Kiera Knightley-Atonement-The fabulous reviews from Venice certainly help her. But is it enough?
2. Laura Linney-The Savages-She is adored by everyone in Hollywood, but the comedy genre may limit her chances to win.
3. Cate Blanchett-The Golden Age-She looks great, and the trailer is by far the best of the year (even more so than Rendition).
4. Jodie Foster-The Brave One-She's gotten good reviews, but I'm still unsure.
5. Kiera Knightley-Atonement-The fabulous reviews from Venice certainly help her. But is it enough?
IN THE RUNNING
6. Angelina Jolie-A Mighty Heart-She can definitely afford to buy her way to a nomination by flooding AMPAS voters with DVD's at the end of the year, but with the poor box office, will she?
7. Marion Cotillard-La Vie en Rose-For some reason, she's getting boatloads of buzz right now, but most of that is just fan based. The fact is that this is a very small film, with a very small release and very small box office numbers. Still, she might be able to pull it off, simply because of the insane internet support she's gotten.
8. Naomi Watts-Eastern Promises-The reviews have been good, but her performance doesn't seem like something to holler about.
9. Catherine Keener-An American Crime-It looks too disturbing for the Academy, but they do love wackos. And Keener always gives an interesting performance. Still, don't count on it.
10. Julie Christie-Away from Her-The buzz has severely decreased...
11. Meryl Streep-Lions for Lambs-Andy Scott of Everything Oscar hit the nail on the head: she'll be ignored this year, and then get Oscar number 3 next year when "Doubt" comes out.
12. Halle Berry-Things we Lost in the Fire-She's a great actress, but she's failing to remind us of that. I just can't trust her.
13. Keri Russell-Waitress-My favorite film so far this year, but I don't think she has what it takes. Hopefully she'll get recognition at the Golden Globes (and if she wins, she could be in contention).
14. Sarah Jessica Parker-Spinning into Butter-Will this even be out this year...?
15. Helena Bonham Carter-Sweeney Todd-They'll probably cheat and put her in supporting, but I'll leave her out altogether until we're sure.
7. Marion Cotillard-La Vie en Rose-For some reason, she's getting boatloads of buzz right now, but most of that is just fan based. The fact is that this is a very small film, with a very small release and very small box office numbers. Still, she might be able to pull it off, simply because of the insane internet support she's gotten.
8. Naomi Watts-Eastern Promises-The reviews have been good, but her performance doesn't seem like something to holler about.
9. Catherine Keener-An American Crime-It looks too disturbing for the Academy, but they do love wackos. And Keener always gives an interesting performance. Still, don't count on it.
10. Julie Christie-Away from Her-The buzz has severely decreased...
11. Meryl Streep-Lions for Lambs-Andy Scott of Everything Oscar hit the nail on the head: she'll be ignored this year, and then get Oscar number 3 next year when "Doubt" comes out.
12. Halle Berry-Things we Lost in the Fire-She's a great actress, but she's failing to remind us of that. I just can't trust her.
13. Keri Russell-Waitress-My favorite film so far this year, but I don't think she has what it takes. Hopefully she'll get recognition at the Golden Globes (and if she wins, she could be in contention).
14. Sarah Jessica Parker-Spinning into Butter-Will this even be out this year...?
15. Helena Bonham Carter-Sweeney Todd-They'll probably cheat and put her in supporting, but I'll leave her out altogether until we're sure.
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