BRIAN
Best Picture
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. Milk
3. Frost/Nixon
4. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. The Dark Knight
Best Director
1. Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
2. Gus Van Sant - Milk
3. David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
4. Ron Howard - Frost/Nixon
5. Stephen Daldry - The Reader
Best Actor
1. Sean Penn - Milk
2. Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
3. Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
4. Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. Clint Eastwood - Gran Torino
Best Actress
1. Meryl Streep - Doubt
2. Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road
3. Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
4. Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky
5. Angelina Joile - Changeling
Best Supporting Actor
1. Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
2. Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
3. Josh Brolin - Milk
4. Robert Downey, Jr. - Tropic Thunder
5. James Franco - Milk
Best Supporting Actress
1. Kate Winslet - The Reader
2. Penelope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
3. Viola Davis - Doubt
4. Amy Adams - Doubt
5. Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Original Screenplay
1. Milk
2. WALL-E
3. Vicky Cristina Barcelona
4. Rachel Getting Married
5. In Bruges
Best Adapted Screenplay
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Frost/Nixon
4. Doubt
5. The Reader
DANIEL
Best Picture
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Milk
4. Frost/Nixon
5. The Dark Knight
Best Director
1. Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
2. David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight
4. Gus Van Sant, Milk
5. Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
Best Actor
1. Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
2. Sean Penn, Milk
3. Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
4. Richard Jenkins, The Visitor
5. Josh Brolin, W.
Best Actress
1. Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
2. Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
3. Meryl Streep, Doubt
4. Melissa Leo, Frozen River
5. Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
Best Supporting Actor
1. Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
2. Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder
3. Josh Brolin, Milk
4. Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
5. James Franco, Milk
Best Supporting Actress
1. Kate Winslet, The Reader
2. Viola Davis, Doubt
3. Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
4. Amy Adams, Doubt
5. Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
Best Original Screenplay
1. Vicky Cristina Barcelona
2. WALL-E
3. Milk
4. Rachel Getting Married
5. In Bruges
Best Adapted Screenplay
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Frost/Nixon
4. The Dark Knight
5. Doubt
DAVID
Best Picture
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. The Dark Knight
4. Milk
5. WALL-E
Best Director
1. Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
2. David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Christopher Nolan - The Dark Knight
4. Gus Vas Sant - Milk
5. Ron Howard - Frost/Nixon
Best Actor
1. Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
2. Sean Penn - Milk
3. Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
4. Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. Richard Jenkins - The Visitor
Best Actress
1. Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky
2. Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road
3. Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
4. Meryl Streep - Doubt
5. Melissa Leo - Frozen River
Best Supporting Actor
1. Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
2. Josh Brolin - Milk
3. Robert Downey Jr. - Tropic Thunder
4. Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
5. Eddie Marsan - Happy-Go-Lucky
Best Supporting Actress
1. Kate Winslet - The Reader
2. Penelope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
3. Viola Davis - Doubt
4. Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler
5. Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Original Screenplay
1. Dustin Lance Black - Milk
2. Andrew Stanton & Jim Reardon - WALL-E
3. Woody Allen - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
4. Robert D. Siegel - The Wrestler
5. Mike Leigh - Happy-Go-Lucky
Best Adapted Screenplay
1. Simon Beaufoy - Slumdog Millionaire
2. Eric Roth - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Christopher Nolan & Jonathan Nolan - The Dark Knight
4. Peter Morgan - Frost/Nixon
5. John Patrick Shanley - Doubt
Showing posts with label Final Oscar Predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Final Oscar Predictions. Show all posts
Wednesday, January 21, 2009
Final Tech Predix
(For some reason it's not letting me copy and paste from a Word document, so for now I can't post my predix)
DAVID
Best Animated Feature Film
Kung Fu Panda
WALL-E
Waltz With Bashir
Best Foreign Language Film
The Baader Meinhof Complex (Germany)
The Class (France)
Everlasting Moments (Sweden)
The Necessities of Life (Canada)
Waltz With Bashir (Israel)
Best Documentary Feature Film
Encounters at the End of the World
I.O.U.S.A.
Man on Wire
Standard Operating Procedure
Trouble the Water
Best Art Direction
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Revolutionary Road
Best Cinematography
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire
Best Costume Design
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road
Best Film Editing
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
Best Makeup
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Best Original Score
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
WALL-E
Best Original Song
'Down To Earth' (Peter Gabriel, Thomas Newman) - WALL-E
'Gran Torino' (Jamie Cullum) - Gran Torino
'I've Thought I Lost You' (Miley Cyrus, Jeffrey Steele) - Bolt
'Jai Ho' (A.R. Rahman) - Slumdog Millionaire
'The Wrestler' (Bruce Springsteen) - The Wrestler
Best Sound Editing
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
WALL-E
Best Sound Mixing
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
Quantum of Solace
Slumdog Millionaire
WALL-E
Best Visual Effects
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
DANIEL
Best Art Direction
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Milk
3. Revolutionary Road
4. Changeling
5. The Dark Knight
Best Cinematography
1. The Dark Knight
2. Slumdog Millionaire
3. Revolutionary Road
4. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. Milk
Best Costume Design
1. Australia
2. The Duchess
3. Revolutionary Road
4. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. The Dark Knight
Best Film Editing
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. The Dark Knight
4. Frost/Nixon
5. Milk
Best Make-Up
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. The Dark Knight
3. Tropic Thunder
Best Original Score
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. WALL-E
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
4. Revolutionary Road
5. The Dark Knight
Best Original Song
1. "The Wrestler", The Wrestler
2. "Down to Earth", WALL-E
3. "Jaiho", Slumdog Millionaire
4. "Gran Torino", Gran Torino
5. "Rock Me Sexy Jesus", Hamlet 2
Best Sound Editing
1. WALL-E
2. Iron Man
3. The Dark Knight
4. Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
5. Hancock
Best Sound Mixing
1. The Dark Knight
2. Iron Man
3. WALL-E
4. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. Slumdog Millionaire
Best Visual Effects
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. The Dark Knight
3. Iron Man
Best Animated Film
1. WALL-E
2. Waltz with Bashir
3. Kung Fu Panda
Best Animated Short
1. Presto
2. Wallace and Gromit in "A Matter of Loaf and Death"
3. Codswallop
4. Hot Dog
5. Sebastian's Voodoo
Best Foreign Film
1. Waltz with Bashir
2. The Class
3. Three Monkeys
4. Everlasting Moments
5. The Badder Meinhof Complex
Best Documentary Feature
1. Man on Wire
2. I.O.U.S.A.
3. Trouble the Water
4. Standard Operating Procedure
5. Encounters at the End of the World
Best Documentary Short
1. David McCullough: Painting with Words
2. The Final Inch
3. Viva La Cause
4. The Conscience of Nhem En
Best Live Action Short
1. My Olympic Summer
2. Love You More
3. Megatron
4. Ralph
5. The Business Trip
DAVID
Best Animated Feature Film
Kung Fu Panda
WALL-E
Waltz With Bashir
Best Foreign Language Film
The Baader Meinhof Complex (Germany)
The Class (France)
Everlasting Moments (Sweden)
The Necessities of Life (Canada)
Waltz With Bashir (Israel)
Best Documentary Feature Film
Encounters at the End of the World
I.O.U.S.A.
Man on Wire
Standard Operating Procedure
Trouble the Water
Best Art Direction
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Revolutionary Road
Best Cinematography
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire
Best Costume Design
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road
Best Film Editing
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
Best Makeup
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Best Original Score
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
WALL-E
Best Original Song
'Down To Earth' (Peter Gabriel, Thomas Newman) - WALL-E
'Gran Torino' (Jamie Cullum) - Gran Torino
'I've Thought I Lost You' (Miley Cyrus, Jeffrey Steele) - Bolt
'Jai Ho' (A.R. Rahman) - Slumdog Millionaire
'The Wrestler' (Bruce Springsteen) - The Wrestler
Best Sound Editing
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
WALL-E
Best Sound Mixing
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
Quantum of Solace
Slumdog Millionaire
WALL-E
Best Visual Effects
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
DANIEL
Best Art Direction
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Milk
3. Revolutionary Road
4. Changeling
5. The Dark Knight
Best Cinematography
1. The Dark Knight
2. Slumdog Millionaire
3. Revolutionary Road
4. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. Milk
Best Costume Design
1. Australia
2. The Duchess
3. Revolutionary Road
4. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. The Dark Knight
Best Film Editing
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. The Dark Knight
4. Frost/Nixon
5. Milk
Best Make-Up
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. The Dark Knight
3. Tropic Thunder
Best Original Score
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. WALL-E
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
4. Revolutionary Road
5. The Dark Knight
Best Original Song
1. "The Wrestler", The Wrestler
2. "Down to Earth", WALL-E
3. "Jaiho", Slumdog Millionaire
4. "Gran Torino", Gran Torino
5. "Rock Me Sexy Jesus", Hamlet 2
Best Sound Editing
1. WALL-E
2. Iron Man
3. The Dark Knight
4. Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
5. Hancock
Best Sound Mixing
1. The Dark Knight
2. Iron Man
3. WALL-E
4. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. Slumdog Millionaire
Best Visual Effects
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. The Dark Knight
3. Iron Man
Best Animated Film
1. WALL-E
2. Waltz with Bashir
3. Kung Fu Panda
Best Animated Short
1. Presto
2. Wallace and Gromit in "A Matter of Loaf and Death"
3. Codswallop
4. Hot Dog
5. Sebastian's Voodoo
Best Foreign Film
1. Waltz with Bashir
2. The Class
3. Three Monkeys
4. Everlasting Moments
5. The Badder Meinhof Complex
Best Documentary Feature
1. Man on Wire
2. I.O.U.S.A.
3. Trouble the Water
4. Standard Operating Procedure
5. Encounters at the End of the World
Best Documentary Short
1. David McCullough: Painting with Words
2. The Final Inch
3. Viva La Cause
4. The Conscience of Nhem En
Best Live Action Short
1. My Olympic Summer
2. Love You More
3. Megatron
4. Ralph
5. The Business Trip
Saturday, January 17, 2009
David's Final Oscar Predix
After all the Award ceremonies and winners in some cases, it's finally time to offer up my predictions on the nominees which will be announced on Thursday. I'll put my comments for the Big 8. Contrary to some bloggers who have already predicted, I will NOT make any alternate picks to the nominees I pick because it's just too easy to get it right with 2 or 3 backup choices. The Oscars have a mind of their own, so I hope to get most of them right and that you will agree with most of them, so here goes:
Best Picture
3 films which have been nominated for the 3 Guild Awards did not get a nod in the Picture category: Being John Malkovich, Almost Famous and Le Scaphandre Et Le Papillon (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly). It is hard to ignore Frost/Nixon as it's been a strong and consistent contender throughout the Award season and it might make the cut, but it just seems like a year where a great film like WALL-E will slip in. After all, never have all 5 films nominated for the PGA went on to be nominated for Best Picture. Hopefully, WALL-E will be the 2nd animated film to make the top 5.
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
WALL-E
Best Director
Going the safe route here with all 5 DGA nominees.
Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Ron Howard - Frost/Nixon
Christopher Nolan - The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant - Milk
Best Actor
3 of the actors will be clear locks for nominations: Rourke, Penn and Langella. The other two spots will be fought between 4 actors: Clint, Brad, Leo and Richard Jenkins. Leo is losing momentum and Kate's getting the attention for Revolutionary Road so he might sit it out this year. Brad will make the cut seeing as he got the Globe and SAG noms and the film was considered the favorite very early on. Clint's last performance as an actor might get a sympathy vote from the Academy as a Thank you, but I've a feeling we won't be seeing the last from Clint at the Oscars (a Nelson Mandela film in the works with Morgan Freeman will probably get him another Director nod and/or award). I'll give the final nod to Richard Jenkins because he got a SAG nom and they'll want to give him a first nomination.
Richard Jenkins - The Visitor
Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn - Milk
Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
Best Actress
Kate Winslet had quite a night at the Globes so she's a sure bet for a nom. Count Meryl in no questions asked. Anne Hathaway hasn't always won but she made it throughout the season so she'll be in too. My personal favorite, Sally Hawkins, had quite the challenging role but she seems like the darling amongst her peers and she'll represent the comedies this year. With one spot left, the most likely candidate will probably be Melissa Leo. Kristin Scott Thomas and Angelina Jolie lost momentum, Michelle Williams' movie might be too small and Cate Blanchett will miss out this time.
Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky
Melissa Leo - Frozen River
Meryl Streep - Doubt
Kate Winslet- Revolutionary Road
Best Supporting Actor
This is my favorite category this year because I will probably end up surprised by the nominees. It seems clear at this point that Heath will win the award uncontested. Philip Seymour Hoffman has been nominated throughout the Award Season, as Josh Brolin and Robert Downey Jr. so count them in. That leaves the final spot. Michael Shannon was great as the overhonest man in RR but he's been overlooked many times. I loved Dev Patel, the SAG nom helped his chances and Slumdog is rolling right now, but he might just miss out. We shouldn't count out James Franco but he has lost momentum. Ralph Fiennes has two films that might sneak him in the category, but choosing one particular film will not get him enough votes. I'll take a chance and say that the 5th spot will go to Eddie Marsan in Happy-Go-Lucky because Hawkins' best scenes are with him and he'll be able to sneak in without being really noticed by the Awards beforehand.
Josh Brolin - Milk
Robert Downey Jr. - Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
Eddie Marsan - Happy-Go-Lucky
Best Supporting Actress
Kate Winslet will probably win her first Oscar in this category for The Reader. Penelope Cruz' buzz is still strong so she'll be nominated. Viola Davis' performance is short but strong so count her in too. Marisa Tomei was nominated a lot throughout the season so she should make the cut, even though the attention is around Rourke. With one spot left, the likely candidates are either Amy Adams or Taraji P. Henson, seeing as both Rosemarie DeWitt and Debra Winger lost momentum a long time ago. Amy Adams is great as the observer of the events in Doubt, but it just seems that Taraji's performance will be noticed more by Oscar voters, so I'll put her in.
Penelope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis - Doubt
Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler
Kate Winslet - The Reader
Best Original Screenplay
Dustin Lance Black is the strongest contender in this category for Milk. Woody Allen is getting a lot of love for Vicky Cristina Barcelona and it's not because of the Cruz-Johansson kiss. Normally an animated film makes the list so we can count WALL-E in for Andrew Stanton. Robert Siegel should make it also for taking us in the wrestling world. Nick Schenk's very real and crude dialogue for Gran Torino is very popular. Mike Leigh wrote a great script reminding us of the joys of every day life. Tom McCarthy's script for The Visitor is fantastic but might go unnoticed. Jenny Lumet has lost too much momentum for Rachel Getting Married, so I'll give the edge to Leigh at this point.
Woody Allen - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Dustin Lance Black - Milk
Mike Leigh - Happy-Go-Lucky
Robert D. Siegel - The Wrestler
Andrew Stanton & Jim Reardon - WALL-E

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Best Picture nominees shoud get the nominations in this category. With Peter Morgan who'll be a sure bet, there's one spot left, and it will probably be between David Hare for The Reader and John Patrick Shanley for Doubt, but Shanley has the edge.
Simon Beaufoy - Slumdog Millionaire
Peter Morgan - Frost/Nixon
Christopher Nolan & Jonathan Nolan - The Dark Knight
Eric Roth - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
John Patrick Shanley - Doubt
Best Animated Feature Film
Kung Fu Panda
WALL-E
Waltz With Bashir
Best Foreign Language Film
The Baader Meinhof Complex (Germany)
The Class (France)
Everlasting Moments (Sweden)
The Necessities of Life (Canada)
Waltz With Bashir (Israel)
Best Documentary Feature Film
Encounters at the End of the World
I.O.U.S.A.
Man on Wire
Standard Operating Procedure
Trouble the Water
Best Art Direction
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Revolutionary Road
Best Cinematography
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire
Best Costume Design
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road
Best Film Editing
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
Best Makeup
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Best Original Score
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
WALL-E
Best Original Song
'Down To Earth' (Peter Gabriel, Thomas Newman) - WALL-E
'Gran Torino' (Jamie Cullum) - Gran Torino
'I've Thought I Lost You' (Miley Cyrus, Jeffrey Steele) - Bolt
'Jai Ho' (A.R. Rahman) - Slumdog Millionaire
'The Wrestler' (Bruce Springsteen) - The Wrestler
Best Sound Editing
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
WALL-E
Best Sound Mixing
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
Quantum of Solace
Slumdog Millionaire
WALL-E
Best Visual Effects
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
So here's the final recap:
13 nominations: The Dark Knight, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
8 nominations: Slumdog Millionaire
7 nominations: Milk, WALL-E
5 nominations: Frost/Nixon
4 nominations: The Wrestler, Doubt, Revolutionary Road
3 nominations: Happy-Go-Lucky, The Reader, Iron Man
2 nominations: Vicky Cristina Barcelona, Changeling
Well, what do you think?
Best Picture
3 films which have been nominated for the 3 Guild Awards did not get a nod in the Picture category: Being John Malkovich, Almost Famous and Le Scaphandre Et Le Papillon (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly). It is hard to ignore Frost/Nixon as it's been a strong and consistent contender throughout the Award season and it might make the cut, but it just seems like a year where a great film like WALL-E will slip in. After all, never have all 5 films nominated for the PGA went on to be nominated for Best Picture. Hopefully, WALL-E will be the 2nd animated film to make the top 5.
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
WALL-E
Best DirectorGoing the safe route here with all 5 DGA nominees.
Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Ron Howard - Frost/Nixon
Christopher Nolan - The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant - Milk
Best Actor
3 of the actors will be clear locks for nominations: Rourke, Penn and Langella. The other two spots will be fought between 4 actors: Clint, Brad, Leo and Richard Jenkins. Leo is losing momentum and Kate's getting the attention for Revolutionary Road so he might sit it out this year. Brad will make the cut seeing as he got the Globe and SAG noms and the film was considered the favorite very early on. Clint's last performance as an actor might get a sympathy vote from the Academy as a Thank you, but I've a feeling we won't be seeing the last from Clint at the Oscars (a Nelson Mandela film in the works with Morgan Freeman will probably get him another Director nod and/or award). I'll give the final nod to Richard Jenkins because he got a SAG nom and they'll want to give him a first nomination.
Richard Jenkins - The Visitor
Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn - Milk
Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
Best ActressKate Winslet had quite a night at the Globes so she's a sure bet for a nom. Count Meryl in no questions asked. Anne Hathaway hasn't always won but she made it throughout the season so she'll be in too. My personal favorite, Sally Hawkins, had quite the challenging role but she seems like the darling amongst her peers and she'll represent the comedies this year. With one spot left, the most likely candidate will probably be Melissa Leo. Kristin Scott Thomas and Angelina Jolie lost momentum, Michelle Williams' movie might be too small and Cate Blanchett will miss out this time.
Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky
Melissa Leo - Frozen River
Meryl Streep - Doubt
Kate Winslet- Revolutionary Road
Best Supporting Actor
This is my favorite category this year because I will probably end up surprised by the nominees. It seems clear at this point that Heath will win the award uncontested. Philip Seymour Hoffman has been nominated throughout the Award Season, as Josh Brolin and Robert Downey Jr. so count them in. That leaves the final spot. Michael Shannon was great as the overhonest man in RR but he's been overlooked many times. I loved Dev Patel, the SAG nom helped his chances and Slumdog is rolling right now, but he might just miss out. We shouldn't count out James Franco but he has lost momentum. Ralph Fiennes has two films that might sneak him in the category, but choosing one particular film will not get him enough votes. I'll take a chance and say that the 5th spot will go to Eddie Marsan in Happy-Go-Lucky because Hawkins' best scenes are with him and he'll be able to sneak in without being really noticed by the Awards beforehand.
Josh Brolin - Milk
Robert Downey Jr. - Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
Eddie Marsan - Happy-Go-Lucky
Best Supporting ActressKate Winslet will probably win her first Oscar in this category for The Reader. Penelope Cruz' buzz is still strong so she'll be nominated. Viola Davis' performance is short but strong so count her in too. Marisa Tomei was nominated a lot throughout the season so she should make the cut, even though the attention is around Rourke. With one spot left, the likely candidates are either Amy Adams or Taraji P. Henson, seeing as both Rosemarie DeWitt and Debra Winger lost momentum a long time ago. Amy Adams is great as the observer of the events in Doubt, but it just seems that Taraji's performance will be noticed more by Oscar voters, so I'll put her in.
Penelope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis - Doubt
Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler
Kate Winslet - The Reader
Best Original Screenplay
Dustin Lance Black is the strongest contender in this category for Milk. Woody Allen is getting a lot of love for Vicky Cristina Barcelona and it's not because of the Cruz-Johansson kiss. Normally an animated film makes the list so we can count WALL-E in for Andrew Stanton. Robert Siegel should make it also for taking us in the wrestling world. Nick Schenk's very real and crude dialogue for Gran Torino is very popular. Mike Leigh wrote a great script reminding us of the joys of every day life. Tom McCarthy's script for The Visitor is fantastic but might go unnoticed. Jenny Lumet has lost too much momentum for Rachel Getting Married, so I'll give the edge to Leigh at this point.
Woody Allen - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Dustin Lance Black - Milk
Mike Leigh - Happy-Go-Lucky
Robert D. Siegel - The Wrestler
Andrew Stanton & Jim Reardon - WALL-E

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Best Picture nominees shoud get the nominations in this category. With Peter Morgan who'll be a sure bet, there's one spot left, and it will probably be between David Hare for The Reader and John Patrick Shanley for Doubt, but Shanley has the edge.
Simon Beaufoy - Slumdog Millionaire
Peter Morgan - Frost/Nixon
Christopher Nolan & Jonathan Nolan - The Dark Knight
Eric Roth - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
John Patrick Shanley - Doubt
Best Animated Feature Film
Kung Fu Panda
WALL-E
Waltz With Bashir
Best Foreign Language Film
The Baader Meinhof Complex (Germany)
The Class (France)
Everlasting Moments (Sweden)
The Necessities of Life (Canada)
Waltz With Bashir (Israel)
Best Documentary Feature Film
Encounters at the End of the World
I.O.U.S.A.
Man on Wire
Standard Operating Procedure
Trouble the Water
Best Art Direction
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Revolutionary Road
Best Cinematography
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire
Best Costume Design
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road
Best Film Editing
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
Best Makeup
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Best Original Score
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
WALL-E
Best Original Song
'Down To Earth' (Peter Gabriel, Thomas Newman) - WALL-E
'Gran Torino' (Jamie Cullum) - Gran Torino
'I've Thought I Lost You' (Miley Cyrus, Jeffrey Steele) - Bolt
'Jai Ho' (A.R. Rahman) - Slumdog Millionaire
'The Wrestler' (Bruce Springsteen) - The Wrestler
Best Sound Editing
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
WALL-E
Best Sound Mixing
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
Quantum of Solace
Slumdog Millionaire
WALL-E
Best Visual Effects
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
So here's the final recap:
13 nominations: The Dark Knight, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
8 nominations: Slumdog Millionaire
7 nominations: Milk, WALL-E
5 nominations: Frost/Nixon
4 nominations: The Wrestler, Doubt, Revolutionary Road
3 nominations: Happy-Go-Lucky, The Reader, Iron Man
2 nominations: Vicky Cristina Barcelona, Changeling
Well, what do you think?
Wednesday, February 6, 2008
A Look at Best Makeup
The nominees are...
La Vie en Rose
Norbit
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
I'VE SEEN: 2/3: La Vie en Rose and (sadly) Norbit. I had absolutely no desire to see Pirates.
I PREDICTED: 1/3. I knew Norbit had a chance, but I refused to believe that the Academy would nominate the worst reviewed film of the year. Pirates was a moderate surprise for me. I predicted 300 & Sweeney Todd instead.
LA VIE EN ROSE-Very weak year for makeup considering that this is the undisputed frontrunner. Granted the age makeup in the film is extremely impressive, it seems more like a nomination-worthy effort rather than what it's become.

NORBIT-Quite frankly...the makeup in the film was really good. That said, I sincerely hope and doubt that the Academy will honor the film here. If so, then I think there is a very good chance that Oscar fans will be just about ready to kill themselves. I know I will.
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: AT WORLD'S END-I'm sure the makeup here is good (they did spend $300 million making the movie), but lack of other technical nods sincerely hurts its chances here. I would say that it could win just to honor the film itself, but is this film really worthy of any honor at all? Reviews seem to indicate no.
WILL WIN: La Vie en Rose
SHOULD WIN: La Vie en Rose
IN ORDER OF LIKELINESS:
1. La Vie en Rose
2. Norbit
3. Pirates of the Caribbean
TOMORROW: Best Visual Effects
La Vie en Rose
Norbit
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
I'VE SEEN: 2/3: La Vie en Rose and (sadly) Norbit. I had absolutely no desire to see Pirates.
I PREDICTED: 1/3. I knew Norbit had a chance, but I refused to believe that the Academy would nominate the worst reviewed film of the year. Pirates was a moderate surprise for me. I predicted 300 & Sweeney Todd instead.
LA VIE EN ROSE-Very weak year for makeup considering that this is the undisputed frontrunner. Granted the age makeup in the film is extremely impressive, it seems more like a nomination-worthy effort rather than what it's become.
NORBIT-Quite frankly...the makeup in the film was really good. That said, I sincerely hope and doubt that the Academy will honor the film here. If so, then I think there is a very good chance that Oscar fans will be just about ready to kill themselves. I know I will.
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: AT WORLD'S END-I'm sure the makeup here is good (they did spend $300 million making the movie), but lack of other technical nods sincerely hurts its chances here. I would say that it could win just to honor the film itself, but is this film really worthy of any honor at all? Reviews seem to indicate no.
WILL WIN: La Vie en Rose
SHOULD WIN: La Vie en Rose
IN ORDER OF LIKELINESS:
1. La Vie en Rose
2. Norbit
3. Pirates of the Caribbean
TOMORROW: Best Visual Effects
Tuesday, February 5, 2008
A Look at Best Sound Mixing
The nominees are...
3:10 to Yuma
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men
Ratatouille
Transformers
I'VE SEEN: 3/5: 3:10 to Yuma, No Country for Old Men & Ratatouille
I PREDICTED: 3/5. I had 300 & Hairspray in place of Transformers and Ratatouille
3:10 TO YUMA-Success in this category is a lot like getting a Best Picture nod without a Best Director nod. Since 3:10 to Yuma didn't get a Sound Editing nod, the nomination is really its reward.
THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM-If the editing nomination was any indication, the Academy came much closer to rewarding Bourne in major categories than we gave them credit for. I could see this taking the award just to reward the film itself.
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN-I've found that the Academy likes to go with safe choices in this category, and you don't get much safer than this. Still, when it's among Bourne and Transformers, it'll have a harder time.
RATATOUILLE-The editing here was more impressive than the mixing...and they rarely give one film both Sound Mixing and Editing. Still, don't count it out.
TRANSFORMERS-Some sites are predicting this...I don't know. We'll see what happens. Though the sound quality did look excellent...
WILL WIN: The Bourne Ultimatum
SHOULD WIN: No Country for Old Men
IN ORDER OF LIKELINESS:
1. The Bourne Ultimatum
2. Transformers
3. No Country for Old Men
4. Ratatouille
5. 3:10 to Yuma
TOMORROW: Best Makeup
3:10 to Yuma
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men
Ratatouille
Transformers
I'VE SEEN: 3/5: 3:10 to Yuma, No Country for Old Men & Ratatouille
I PREDICTED: 3/5. I had 300 & Hairspray in place of Transformers and Ratatouille
3:10 TO YUMA-Success in this category is a lot like getting a Best Picture nod without a Best Director nod. Since 3:10 to Yuma didn't get a Sound Editing nod, the nomination is really its reward.
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN-I've found that the Academy likes to go with safe choices in this category, and you don't get much safer than this. Still, when it's among Bourne and Transformers, it'll have a harder time.
RATATOUILLE-The editing here was more impressive than the mixing...and they rarely give one film both Sound Mixing and Editing. Still, don't count it out.
TRANSFORMERS-Some sites are predicting this...I don't know. We'll see what happens. Though the sound quality did look excellent...
WILL WIN: The Bourne Ultimatum
SHOULD WIN: No Country for Old Men
IN ORDER OF LIKELINESS:
1. The Bourne Ultimatum
2. Transformers
3. No Country for Old Men
4. Ratatouille
5. 3:10 to Yuma
TOMORROW: Best Makeup
Monday, January 21, 2008
David's Oscar Predix
Hello all! Sorry for my long absence away from the blog, but school is hell these days, I guess I don't have to tell you! But that's not gonna stop me from getting my predix in come Oscar time.
Well, to get things going, here's my final predix on who will be nominated for tomorrow's Oscar nominations announcement.
Well, to get things going, here's my final predix on who will be nominated for tomorrow's Oscar nominations announcement.
BEST PICTURE
Atonement
Into The Wild
Juno
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood
BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Joel & Ethan Coen - No Country For Old Men
Sean Penn - Into The Wild
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell & The Butterfly
Joe Wright - Atonement
BEST ACTOR
George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber Of Fleet Street
Emile Hirsch - Into The Wild
Viggo Mortensen - Eastern Promises
BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett - Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie - Away From Her
Marion Cotillard - La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page - Juno
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Casey Affleck - The Assassination Of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem - No Country For Old Men
Hal Holbrook - Into The Wild
Tommy Lee Jones - No Country For Old Men
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Catherine Keener - Into The Wild
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Before The Devil Knows You're Dead
Juno
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Atonement
The Diving Bell & The Butterfly
Into The Wild
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
12
Beaufort
The Counterfeiters
Days Of Darkness
The Year My Parents Went On Vacation
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE FILM
Autism: The Musical
The King Of Kong: A Fistful Of Quarters
No End In Sight
Sicko
War/Dance
BEST FILM EDITING
Atonement
The Bourne Ultimatum
Into The Wild
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood
BEST ART DIRECTION
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber Of Fleet Street
There Will Be Blood
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Assassination Of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell & The Butterfly
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
La Vie En Rose
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber Of Fleet Street
BEST MAKEUP
300
La Vie En Rose
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber Of Fleet Street
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement
Into The Wild
The Kite Runner
Ratatouille
There Will Be Blood
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
'That's How You Know' - Enchanted
'Grace Is Gone' - Grace Is Gone
'Come So Far (Got So Far To Go)' - Hairspray
'Guaranteed' - Into The Wild
'Falling Slowly' - Once
BEST SOUND EDITING
3:10 To Yuma
Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End
Ratatouille
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber Of Fleet Street
Transformers
BEST SOUND MIXING
300
The Bourne Ultimatum
Hairspray
No Country For Old Men
Transformers
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
300
Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End
Transformers
Final Tally:
9 - Atonement, Into The Wild
8 - There Will Be Blood, No Country For Old Men
5 - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber Of Fleet Street
4 - Michael Clayton, Ratatouille, Hairspray
3 - Juno, Elizabeth: The Golden Age, La Vie En Rose, 300, Transformers
2 - The Assassination Of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford, The Bourne Ultimatum, Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End
Tune in tomorrow to find out the results!
One Small Change in my Predix...
I usually NEVER let myself do this, but it was announced today that There Will Be Blood, Into the Wild and Enchanted are disqualified for Best Original Score. TWBB and Into the Wild are in my predix, so I am going to change that now. Sorry.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
American Gangster
Atonement
Eastern Promises
The Kite Runner
Ratatouille
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
American Gangster
Atonement
Eastern Promises
Ratatouille
Sunday, January 20, 2008
Daniel's Predictions for the 80th Academy Awards: Big Eight
Here we go:
Best Picture
Into the Wild
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Best Actor
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
Best Actress
Amy Adams, Enchanted
Julie Christie, Away From Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page, Juno
Best Supporting Actor
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tommy Lee Jones, No Country for Old Men
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Catherine Keener, Into the Wild
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
Best Original Screenplay
Brad Bird, Ratatouille
Diablo Cody, Juno
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Tamara Jenkins, The Savages
Nancy Oliver, Lars and the Real Girl
Best Adapted Screenplay
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Christopher Hampton, Atonement
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Aaron Sorkin, Charlie Wilson's War
I thought I'd throw in a couple snubs or surprises just to keep them interesting.
Things that would be entertaining or surprising:
-Marisa Tomei receives a surprise Best Supporting Actress nomination and then wins (a la My Cousin Vinny)
-James McAvoy receives a Best Actor nomination
-Johnny Depp is snubbed of a Best Actor nomination (the most likely)
-Laura Linney AND Philip Seymour Hoffman receive nominations for The Savages
-Kelly Macdonald receives a nomination for Best Supporting Actress; the Academy falls completely, head-over-heels, in love with No Country for Old Men
-Charlie Wilson's War receives a Best Picture nomination
-Leave comments with some more
Best Picture
Into the Wild
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Best Actor
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
Best Actress
Amy Adams, Enchanted
Julie Christie, Away From Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page, Juno
Best Supporting Actor
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tommy Lee Jones, No Country for Old Men
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Catherine Keener, Into the Wild
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
Best Original Screenplay
Brad Bird, Ratatouille
Diablo Cody, Juno
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Tamara Jenkins, The Savages
Nancy Oliver, Lars and the Real Girl
Best Adapted Screenplay
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Christopher Hampton, Atonement
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Aaron Sorkin, Charlie Wilson's War
I thought I'd throw in a couple snubs or surprises just to keep them interesting.
Things that would be entertaining or surprising:
-Marisa Tomei receives a surprise Best Supporting Actress nomination and then wins (a la My Cousin Vinny)
-James McAvoy receives a Best Actor nomination
-Johnny Depp is snubbed of a Best Actor nomination (the most likely)
-Laura Linney AND Philip Seymour Hoffman receive nominations for The Savages
-Kelly Macdonald receives a nomination for Best Supporting Actress; the Academy falls completely, head-over-heels, in love with No Country for Old Men
-Charlie Wilson's War receives a Best Picture nomination
-Leave comments with some more
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