Showing posts with label No Country for Old Men. Show all posts
Showing posts with label No Country for Old Men. Show all posts

Sunday, February 24, 2008

My Absolutely, Totally, 200%, Completely Final Predix

This is my most important post of the year: the final predix. I am not allowing myself to change ANY of these. At all. Red for who WILL win. Blue for the runner-up. Underline for who SHOULD win. Here we go...

BEST PICTURE
Atonement
Juno
Michael Clayton

No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson – There Will Be Blood
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen – No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy – Michael Clayton
Jason Reitman – Juno

Julian Schnabel – The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

BEST ACTOR
George Clooney – Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis – There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp – Sweeney Todd
Tommy Lee Jones – In the Valley of Elah
Viggo Mortensen – Eastern Promises

BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett – Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie – Away from Her
Marion Cotillard – La Vie en Rose
Laura Linney – The Savages

Ellen Page – Juno

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Casey Affleck – The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem – No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman – Chalrie Wilson’s War
Hal Holbrook – Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson – Michael Clayton

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett – I’m Not There
Ruby Dee – American Gangster
Saoirse Ronan – Atonement

Amy Ryan – Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton – Michael Clayton

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Atonement
Away from Her

The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Persepolis
Ratatouille
Surf’s Up

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM (No Should Win Applicable)
12
Beaufort
The Counterfeiters
Mongol
Katyn

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE (No Should Win Applicable)
No End in Sight
Operation Homecoming: Writing the Wartime Experience
Sicko

Taxi to the Darkside
War/Dance

BEST FILM EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild

No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST ART DIRECTION
American Gangster
Atonement
The Golden Compass
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Across the Universe
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
La Vie en Rose

Sweeney Todd

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
3:10 to Yuma
Atonement
The Kite Runner
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Raise it Up” – August Rush
“Happy Working Song” – Enchanted
“So Close” – Enchanted

“That’s How You Know” – Enchanted
“Falling Slowly” – Once

BEST SOUND MIXING
3:10 to Yuma
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men
Ratatouille

Transformers

BEST SOUND EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men
Ratatouille
There Will Be Blood
Transformers

BEST MAKEUP
La Vie en Rose
Norbit
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
The Golden Compass
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End
Transformers

BEST ANIMATED SHORT (No Should Win Applicable)
I Met the Walrus
Madame Tutli-Putli
Meme les Pigeones vont au Paradis

My Love

Peter and the Wolf

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT (No Should Win Applicable)
At Night
The Substitute

Le Mozart des Pickpockets
Tanghi Argenti
The Tonto Woman

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT (No Should Win Applicable)
Freeheld
La Corona
Salim Baba

Sari’s Mother

A Look at Best Picture

We made it! The nominees are...

Atonement
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

I'VE SEEN: 5/5. I'm cool like that.
I PREDICTED: 4/5. I had Into the Wild in place of Atonement. I don't think I've ever been more excited to have been wrong. Now if only Diving Bell and the Butterfly could replace Michael Clayton...

ATONEMENT-This nod is actually somewhat surprising. While momentum has been gaining ever since the film got its coveted 7 nods, we have to be logical: Atonement has a very, very, VERY slim chance. The director snub certainly doesn't help, either.


JUNO-If the precursor-showered, more Oscar friendly Little Miss Sunshine lost last year, I don't see how Juno can win. I'm just thrilled it got the nomination. I really, really do love this movie.

MICHAEL CLAYTON-Probably the least likely nominee. The film is universally liked, but very few are calling it the best of the year (save Richard Roeper and the Reel Geezers). Quite frankly, I don't see how it got this far.

NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN-The most sure Best Picture winner since Lord of the Rings. No Country has won acclaim from every critic and moviegoer in America and has won virtually every precursor. Nothing can stop this. And, quite honestly, I'm okay with that. No Country for Old Men was a really good movie, no matter how you spell it out.

THERE WILL BE BLOOD-I would be ecstatic if this won, but it never got the precursor love it needed. The universal claim that it is a "masterpiece" places it in second, but it really has very little chance. However, in about 20 years, I think we ill all be wondering how the hell this lost.

WILL WIN: No Country for Old Men
SHOULD WIN: There Will Be Blood

IN ORDER OF LIKELINESS:
1. No Country for Old Men
2. There Will Be Blood
3. Juno
4. Atonement
5. Michael Clayton

It's Oscar night!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Saturday, February 23, 2008

David's Rest of the Predix

Cinematography

Seen : 4/5 (haven't seen Diving Bell - I KNOW!!!!!!!)
Predicted : 5/5 - how 'bout that?

This is a difficult category to choose because there are a lot of clear cut favorites : The Assassination has won most of the awards, Atonement has a 6-minute long shot equally impressive to last year's Children of Men snub (why didn't that win?!?), There Will Be Blood uses large scales most of the time, but to me, even though I haven't seen it, The Diving Bell really has something to offer in this category, especially to film from the main character's point of vue for most of the film is a tough challenge, so I'm gonna go for an upset here with the win.

Prediction : The Diving Bell & The Butterfly

Art Direction

Seen : 5/5
Predicted : 3/5 (went for Elizabeth and Hairspray instead of American Gangster and Golden Compass)

Even though I'd be inclined to go for There Will Be Blood to cut through a technical category here with it's impressive scale, I'd have to go for Sweeney, because the extensive work to recreate old London is rather extraordinary here, and for a Tim Burton film, I'd expect nothing less.

Prediction : Sweeney Todd

Film Editing

Seen : 4/5
Predicted : 4/5 (went for Atonement instead of The Diving Bell)

Usually, this category is a good predictor of the film that will take Best Picture, since 4 out of the last 5 Best Picture winners (Million Dollar Baby exempt) took this award with them. Of course, There Will Be Blood offers a great film, and The Bourne Ultimatum's story follows through extensively, I'll have to go with No Country on this one because the cuts are real subtle and you never are lost in the story, and the last 20 minutes are spectacular.

Prediction : No Country For Old Men

Documentary Feature

Seen : 1/5 (Sicko only, my video store doesn't receive documentaries)
Predicted : 3/5 (not too bad)

I won't say much about this category because I'm not an expert on documentaries, suffice to say that the frontrunner seems to be No End In Sight, so I'll blindly give it my prediction, although I have no idea who'll win this category.

Prediction : No End In Sight

Animated Feature Film

Seen : 2/3 (not yet for Persepolis)
Predicted : 2/3 (yes, I went for The Simpsons anyway, but I liked the penguins)

Pixar doesn't always win this category, but Brad Bird (former Simpsons writer) does bring a charm to this story of a rat chef in the city of haute cuisine. I couldn't help laughing the whole way through, and it is one of my favorite films of the year, so Ratatouille hands down!

Prediction : Ratatouille

Foreign Language Film

Seen : 0/5 (I know...)
Predicted : 3/5

Again, as I've seen none of the films, I will vote blindly on this category. 12 and The Counterfeiters received the higher scores from other sites, but The Counterfeiters seem like a more interesting story in my opinion, so I'll go for that film.

Prediction : The Counterfeiters

TOP 8

Adapted Screenplay

Seen : 5/5
Predicted : 4/5 (poor Sean Penn)

Well, last year it was the Original Screenplay category with most of the Best Picture contenders. Paul Thomas Anderson is a master screenwriter and he really created one of the most intriguing, frightening character stories in recent movie history, but it seems as if he's only short of the finish line, as the Coens will finally get their dues in the major categories this year, so I'm going with the brothers on this one.

Prediction : No Country For Old Men

Original Screenplay

Seen : 3/5 (no Lars or Savages)
Predicted : 4/5 (I put in Before the Devil... instead of Lars)

Well, it seems it will be Juno... and the rest following. Unless Michael Clayton pulls a really big upset, we'll see Diablo Cody picking up her first Oscar tomorrow night (hurrah for the shenanigans)

Prediction : Juno

Best Supporting Actress

Seen : 5/5
Predicted : 4/5 (I put Catherine Keener instead of Ruby Dee)

This is the category I expect to be mistaken with. With Cate Blanchett as a frontrunner (my favorite of the 5 performances)who's lost some momentum and has an Oscar win and a split vote against her, Ruby Dee as a SAG winner and a sentimental nominee, Amy Ryan as a consistent and raved-about performance, you can have a hard time picking a favorite. But, as my colleagues seem to have realized, one of the top films of the year with great performances all around will likely pick up at least one award. In this case, Tilda Swinton has been consistent in the nominations, she's picked up momentum since the Best Picture nomination, and she's one of the great actresses working today, so I'll go ahead with Tilda, even though I wouldn't be surprised to be upset on this one.

Prediction : Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton

Best Supporting Actor

Seen : 5/5
Predicted : 4/5 (I put Tommy Lee Jones instead of Phillip Seymour Hoffman, although that would've been my prediction early on)

Two words : coin toss. Here, Javier Bardem has Oscar voters thinking about the disappointment of losing The Sea Inside, and he has created a really dangerous on-screen killer in this film, worthy of all the awards he received. Although I loved Hal Holbrook, I wouldn't call it a memorable performance, nor the others nominated in this category. No, I believe for years to come, this film will be remembered, and Anton Chigurh will haunt us for a long time. Only problem : last year, the favorite didn't win, so who knows?

Prediction : Javier Bardem - No Country For Old Men

Best Actress

Seen : 4/5 (sorry Laura, waiting for the DVD)
Predicted : 4/5 (Angelina Jolie for Laura Linney)

Well, this is the category I HOPE the frontrunner doesn't win. I'm sorry, Away From Her was an excellent film, but Julie Christie's performance shouldn't bring home an Oscar. Yes, I loved Ellen Page as Juno, and I believe she'll get her due at the Oscars, but I don't believe it will be this year. No my friends, this year definetely belongs to Marion Cotillard. Her haunting portrayal of one of France's most remembered voices is the work of an artist, a film actress in all it's forms, and I would be ashamed to not hear her name come Oscar time. So I'm gonna cross my fingers and hope for the best.

Prediction : Marion Cotillard - La Vie En Rose

Best Actor

Seen : 5/5
Predicted : 4/5 (Emile Hirsch for Tommy Lee Jones)

Can anybody stop the Daniel Day-Lewis bandwagon? In my opinion, No! So, it's as simple as that.

Prediction : Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood

Best Director

Seen : 4/5
Predicted : 3/5 (Penn and Wright for Reitman and Gilroy)

Well, it's down to the big 3 : Anderson, the Coens and Schnabel. The Coens have scored the DGA, Schnabel took the GG and Anderson's looking for his first award (deservedly so). Here I'll give the edge to the Coens, but I'd be just as happy with either of the two others.

Prediction : Joel and Ethan Coen - No Country For Old Men

and finally...

BEST PICTURE

Seen : 5/5
Predicted : 4/5 (Into the Wild for Michael Clayton)

Atonement's the safe bet as many point out, but the GG and the BAFTA's were their rewards, because last year's GG winner did not take home the big one. Juno has all the elements going for it (yes, compared to Little Miss Sunshine) but it has too many big contenders in front of it. Michael Clayton doesn't seem to have the momentum going for it, but still a great film. Which leaves the grand scale There Will Be Blood, carried by Daniel Day-Lewis and PTA, or The Coens with their latest great ensemble and storyline, No Country For Old Men. With the coin toss, I expect either of these two to win, but since I gave the edge to No Country as my favorite film of the year (it wasn't by much, I swear to you), I will predict No Country as the Oscar winner for Best Picture of 2007.

Prediction : No Country For Old Men

Hope that you will all tune in for tomorrow, and have a great show!!!

A Look at Best Director

The nominees are...

Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Jason Reitman - Juno
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

I'VE SEEN:
5/5. Yay me.
I PREDICTED: 3/5. I had Sean Penn and Joe Wright in place of Tony Gilroy and Jason Reitman. Turns out I expected Atonement to get unanticipated love in the wrong category.

ANDERSON-Seeing him win would make me very happy, but this just isn't his year. He'll probably get it someday.


COENS-Having won every valuable precursor (unless you count the GG...I don't), the Coen brothers are the odds on favorite for sure. They're really the only logical prediction at this point.

GILROY-A decent directorial effort, but he really stands no chance.

REITMAN-A highly underrated effort that I'm thrilled the Academy recognized. However, considering that just about no one expected him to get in, all this nomination does is make Juno look like a more legitimate contender in Best Actress.

SCHNABEL-Don't count him out as a HUGE upset just yet, but without a BP nod for his film, his chances are very, very slim.

WILL WIN: Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
SHOULD WIN: Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood

IN ORDER OF LIKELINESS:
1. Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
2. Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
3. Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
4. Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
5. Jason Reitman - Juno

TOMORROW: Best Picture (it's almost here...)

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

A Look at Best Supporting Actor

The nominees are...

Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton

I'VE SEEN: 4/5. All but Jesse James, which may change this week.
I PREDICTED: 4/5. I had Tommy Lee Jones for No Country in place of Holbrook. Looks like I snubbed Into the Wild in the wrong place.

AFFLECK-He's gotten a surge of buzz recently, but nothing will take the award away from Bardem.



BARDEM-Arguably the biggest lock of the year. Bardem has created a character with a huge cult following only a few months after his film was released. He's got this award.

HOFFMAN-This is a reward for having such a good year. Nothing else.

HOLBROOK-The most likely upset if they don't want to give Ruby Dee Best Supporting Actress but do want to give out a "just in case you die before you give an Oscar worthy performance" award. But he really can't dethrone Bardem.

WILKINSON-I would be ecstatic if this happened, but if they do like Michael Clayton, they'll give Swinton an Oscar instead of Wilkinson. Sad.

WILL WIN: Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
SHOULD WIN: Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton

IN ORDER OF LIKELINESS:
1. Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
2. Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild
3. Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
4. Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton
5. Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War

TOMORROW: Best Actress (ahh! so close!!)

Sunday, February 17, 2008

The 2nd Annual Oscar Obsession Honors

Winners are in bold. If you haven't seen the nominations, click here. Here we go...

BEST PREMISE
Atonement: The idea of two lovers separated by a child's misunderstanding, and how that effects all three of their lives. The premise itself provokes much thought about the small things we do. Very intriguing indeed.

Away from Her: The idea of a woman forgetting that her husband ever existed. This is truly a real-life horror movie. Also, I always love when movies explore the lives of the elderly.

Enchanted: The idea of a fairy tale princess transported into the real world. The movie itself had script problems galore, I am not about to deny that hearing this idea made me smile.

Persepolis: The idea of a rebellious, naive young woman growing up in a time of horror: the Iranian Revolution. This is a simple but original premise that you know will be the jumping off point for quite a movie.

There Will Be Blood: The idea of an indescribably greedy man whose lies and selfish doings tie him up in a web he can't escape from. It's so rare for movies to be made where the protagonist is anything but likeable, so when it is, it is always intriguing.


BEST USE OF MUSIC IN A FILM
Hairspray: This score is the very definition of fun. And the movie never takes itself too seriously to actually use that as a basis for satire, smiles and toe-tapping.

Juno: The movie's soundtrack plays a crucial role in identifying Juno as a character: offbeat, an acquired taste and the kind of thing you love, but don't know why. Brilliant job.

Once: The music in this film is respectful, very sincere and moving--just like the movie. But the real reason it won here is because it was a musical fairy tale that never for one second seemed self-indulgent or even unrealistic. Listening to the soundtrack, and watching the film, just makes you feel good about life.

Sweeney Todd: While the film may not have used the greatest musical score ever written to its fullest advantage, the very presence of songs like "A Little Priest", "The Worst Pies in London" and "Johanna" are enough to get a spot here.

There Will Be Blood: The movie uses a strange blend of classical, modern and downright creepy music to create a mood that we have never seen before. And the opera-like melody after Day-Lewis's closing line is just amazing.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
300: The movie itself is highly flawed, however, the cinematography was exquisitely surreal, and made the movie seem a lot more fun than it actually was.

Atonement: Simply gorgeous footage, be it in a battle scene or an upper-class mansion.

The Diving Bell and the Butterfly: This wins the prize because the cinematography plays a crucial role in telling this story. Had we not seen the world through the protagonist's blinking left eye, I doubt I would have felt so much sympathy for him. So few movies dare go into the second person, but this film did. A risk, but not without reward.

No Country for Old Men: Downright creepy cinematography. Most of the thrills in the film can be attributed to these haunting images (and, of course, Bardem).

There Will Be Blood: Each shot is set up in an unpredictable manner. One of the reasons I was so compelled was just to see what the next one would look like.

BEST FILM EDITING
Atonement: The now famous 5.5 minute tracking shot is enough to secure a nod here. Very difficult, and well-done, editing.

Juno: A fast-paced, quick comedy that needs good editing to be successful. It had it.

Once: Musicals are always difficult to edit, especially if you're looking for a realistic tone. The editing in Once gives us the most information about a character possible, even when they're singing about something totally different.

No Country for Old Men: This is a movie that had a lot of substance, but still moved extremely quickly. Pulling such a thing off is the very definition of achievement in editing.

There Will Be Blood: The film has very little dialogue, but also a great deal of story. The editors had the task of picking what best conveys the plot simply by the cinematography and facial expressions of the actors. The result was just excellent.


BEST ENDING (of course, spoilers)
Gone Baby Gone: The ending is really what made this movie. I totally did not expect Amanda to be alive, and I certainly didn't expect Captain Doyle to have "kidnapped" her. I found myself questioning Doyle's morals for weeks.

Juno: This is exactly the ending every romantic comedy wants: happy and satisfying, but not predictable. When Mark left Vanessa, I was afraid that Juno was going to decide to keep the baby, which would have totally ruined it. Instead, it turns the protagonist into a wise young woman instead of a self-indulgent teen and brings Vanessa down to earth--and into bliss. Superb.

Persepolis: An ending that is both tragic and hopeful. Marjane has left her home so many times, but this is the first time she leaves home, but takes it with her, as displayed in the final scene in the taxi. A very challenging and rewarding ending.

Sweeney Todd: I almost feel like I'm cheating by giving this the award, because it just totally knocks out all the other competition. I really and truly think this is the best ending we've ever seen in any medium of storytelling. It is both conclusive--in that most every character dies--but also thought provoking. Would Sweeney had done what he did if Mrs. Lovett never lied to him?

There Will Be Blood: That final scene was...wow. In just one scene, there are four lines that I find myself referencing daily:
"Don't bully me, Daniel!"
"I'm FINISHED!" (one of the best closing lines ever)
"Did you really think your little song and dance could save you?!"
and, of course
"I drink your milkshake! I drink it up!"
Ultimately, Daniel's greed brings him everything he wants. However, his greed also keeps him from wanting anything. Very interesting.


BEST ORIGINAL CHARACTER (Possible Spoilers)
Giselle - Enchanted: A fairy tale princess that starts becoming perilously close to human in the real world. And in a movie with such a great storyline. God, I really wish this were as good as it could have been.

Juno MacGuff - Juno: Well, DUH! I haven't liked a movie character this much in ages. In the beginning, she is a fun girl, but tries oh-so-hard to be precocious and funny. However, by the end, she is a genuine, smart young adult. A character arc that is so rarely actually executed, but when it is, it's absolutely lovely. She wins by a mile.

Vanessa Loring - Juno: She could have easily been portrayed as a pushy, fake woman. And, in the beginning, that's exactly what she is. However, when we see her holding her baby, we realize that she was rather unpleasant because she had never gotten what she always wanted. A truly three-dimensional character.

Jenna - Waitress: She starts off likable, but not the kind of person you want to be best friends with. However, as the plot develops, we understand why everyone in the world (except her husband) is so happy to have her.

Old Joe - Waitress: A cranky old man that turns out to be the nicest guy ever. Love it. And played to perfection by Andy Griffith.

BEST CHARACTER FROM ANOTHER MEDIUM (Possible Spoilers)
Briony Tallis - Atonement: Truly an excellent character. Did she lie, or was it just her imagination being overworked? Is she really sorry for what she has done? These are questions that were on my mind constantly as I watched this film. Simply fascinating.

Jean-Dominique Bauby - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly: A lesser screenwriter would have portrayed Jean-Do as a perfect man who is struck with a terrible illness. However, here we see that Jean-Do is really a combination of the two: sure, he is a kind family man, but he's also promiscuities and overly sarcastic and cynical. Tragedy, however, turns out to make him a better person.

Marjane's Grandmother - Persepolis: Who would have thought that one of the funniest, most endearing characters of the year would come from a movie about the Iranian Revolution?

Daniel Plainview - There Will Be Blood: I genuinely believe that Daniel started out a good man. Why else would he have raised H.W.? However, greed drives him to stop caring about everything except money and oil, and he becomes one of the most unlikeable characters we've seen on screen recently.

Mrs. Lovett - Sweeney Todd: This is a role every actress who can sing should be killing for. Is she a diabolical villain who is willing to let everyone around her die just because of her schoolgirl crush, or was she just hypnotized by Sweeney? I started thinking about her character since I first saw the show a few years back, and still am today.



BEST ENSEMBLE
Juno: Every name on the poster for this film (Ellen Page, Michael Cera, Jennifer Garner, Jason Bateman, J.K. Simmons and Alison Janney) were, at some point, in consideration for one of my acting awards. Every actor -- and I mean EVERY actor -- in the film understood their characters perfectly. The ensemble is simply a godsend.

Knocked Up: Flaws outweigh benefits for most of the characters, however Seth Rogen, Katherine Heigl, Paul Rudd and Leslie Mann still make us love them. Quite a feat.

No Country for Old Men: The characters are mostly built around fear of Chigurh, but in all different ways. Every performance holds its own in an ensemble-heavy film.

The Savages: A movie that could have easily come off as a bunch of grown-up losers complaining about life turns into a genuine, heartfelt dramadey thanks to affectionate performances by Laura Linney, Philip Bosco and Philip Seymour Hoffman.

Waitress: By the end, I wanted to hug every character in the film (except for Earl, obviously). This ensemble is pure love.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Atonement: Initially, it seems light script-wise. However, by the time you get to the intense confrontation scene and Vanessa Redgrave's moving epilogue, you start hearing some of the best dialogue of the year.

The Diving Bell and the Butterfly: This wins this category because it was just such a remarkable accomplishment. It is a movie about a man who can communicate only by blinking his left eye, and yet it's funny, poignant, inspiring and never boring for one second. Everything about the movie was sincere and honest. A great screenplay indeed.

Persepolis: Offers some of the most clever scenes of the year, as well as some clever one-liners. However, the real reason this is here is because it's an animated film that has story and dialogue elements as thought provoking and interesting as any of the other great films of 2007. Lovely.

No Country for Old Men: The violent sequences are not only well-directed and choreographed, but also well-written. The way the characters react to violence--and the way Anton kills--are key elements to the film's success. Not to mention that the dialogue is full of subtext that we so rarely find in films anymore.

There Will Be Blood: As I said before, nearly every line is quotable. The plot is full of twists, turns and quirks that is guided perfectly by the screenplay. A difficult, touchy film that is put in perfect hands.BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Juno: The screenplay to this film is both the frontrunner for Best Original Screenplay, and the most hated screenplay of the year. It is being called "overwritten", when in fact, that is just Juno's character. And as the film progresses, and Juno becomes a more real person, the dialogue and situations become more real. An outstanding achievement.

Knocked Up: It's being called a sex comedy with heart, but I would say it's more than a sex comedy; I would say it's also a social commentary on casual sex. The screenplay, like with many comedies, is what made the movie a success. An impressive, and downright hilarious, screenplay.

The Savages: This comes in an EXTREMELY close second. This is really an amazing screenplay: not quite a comedy...not quite a drama...just life. And this dialogue is some of the most realistic I've ever heard in a film.

The Simpsons Movie: I was shocked to see that the best sitcom of all time transferred to the screen so perfectly. I love this show, I love this movie, I love this screenplay. Its main criticism is that it's basically one long episode. That, however, is what I loved most about it.

Waitress: The fact that the intense talent behind this funny, feel-good romantic comedy won't ever make another film is just depressing. This screenplay alone, however, is enough to create a legacy.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Garner - Juno: I've always been against Garner, but I was shocked at the maturity and classiness she brought to Juno. Unlike so many other actresses that try to defend their character's flaws, Garner just lets Vanessa be Vanessa. Great work.

Marion Josee-Croze - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly: Probably more lead than supporting, but I needed to put her somewhere. The scene where she is on the boat with Jean-Do ("you may be my diving bell, but you're also my butterfly") just sent me over the edge. A beautiful performance in a beautiful film.

Alison Janney - Juno: She only has a few minutes of screentime, but she makes such a lasting impression that I felt like she had 30. At once, Janney establishes a real connection with Page. Unlike so many stepmother roles, Janney is a warm, protective and very loving mother figure to Page's Juno. And she's freaking hilarious.

Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone: This was the strongest category of the year, but when you come down to it, Ryan simply gave the best female supporting performance of the year. She absolutely transforms into a drug addicted, self-centered mother, but is never melodramatic. As much as we dislike her character, we can't help but feel for her. Really a great performance.

Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton: Takes a total bitch of a character and makes us see her side of the story. I don't want to spoil the movie, but I'll just say that if you can get people to sympathize with this character then...wow.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men: Every time he was on screen, I was afraid to open my eyes, but couldn't turn away. Bardem makes us compelled to see what happens to a character we absolutely hate.

Michael Cera - Juno: Lovingly awkward. His Bleeker was fun, laid-back and just adorable.

Paul Dano - There Will Be Blood: His eccentric sermons are disturbing and captivating, and in the end, we just pity him for having led a life he never wanted to lead.

Tommy Lee Jones - No Country for Old Men: A mysterious, quiet performance. In the last 30 minutes of the film, we forget that we ever saw anyone but him. Bonus points for making some sense out of that end monologue, too.

Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton: The best part in an otherwise flawed movie (not a bad one, but not a perfect one either). At times, Arthur is the most sane person in the film, and at other times, he's...uh...not. But whatever he was doing, he was undeniably convincing.

BEST ACTRESS
Helena Bonham Carter - Sweeney Todd: When I first heard her recording on the soundtrack, I was aggravated. I've always viewed Mrs. Lovett as an obnoxious, repuslive and fascinating woman. However, when I saw the movie, she put a spin on the part that I never anticipated would work. She really made it her own.

Marion Cotillard - La Vie en Rose: The incredibly versatile Ms. Cotillard plays Edith Piaf at every point in her life, displaying every emotion one can imagine, in the most effective and interesting way possible. I did not for one second think it was an actress in the role. It well may be the best biopic performance ever--I know it's the best I've seen.

Ellen Page - Juno: I spent weeks debating over whether to give this title to Cotillard or Page, but in the end, Page just captured my heart. Rarely have I encountered a performance where the actor fully understands their character. That certainly was not the case for Ellen Page in Juno. Anyone can portray her as a snarky pregnant teenager, but it takes true talent to dive into the mind of a comedic character. Page did so, and pulled it off completely. One of the best comedic performances of all time; and she was just 19 when she filmed it.

Keri Russell - Waitress: Keri's shyness but lovability brings Jenna, and the movie itself, into a more mature state.

Tabu - The Namesake: A criminally underappreciated performance. From the moment she appears on screen, we sympathize with her struggles, but also question her flaws. Tabu's subtlety conveys more emotion than something as simple as crying on cue can do.

BEST ACTOR
Josh Brolin - No Country for Old Men: A man of questionable ethics, but also of great likability. Brolin has proven, if nothing else, that he is well on his way to superstardom.

Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood: Among the 20 best performances of all time. Day-Lewis absolutely dissolves into the form of a greedy, angry, insane oilman. I could talk forever and still not fully explain how powerful this performance is.

Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Savages: Linney got the nod, and her work was great, but the real strength of The Savages comes from Hoffman. While Wendy is more the main character, Jon is a mysterious, but very friendly character that I found myself quite intrigued by; much to the credit of Hoffman.

James McAvoy - Atonement: A gentle performance, but not without a strong backbone. McAvoy shows off a very wide range in this surprisingly great performance.

Gordon Pinsent - Away from Her: His co-star is picking up all the awards for her good-but-not-great performance, but Pinsent is really what drives Away from Her into excellence.

BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood: One of the best directed films of all time. I believe that you could cut up every frame of the film, shuffle them, select one and analyze it for days. There is not a single shot in this film that is not entirely thought-out. Truly a towering accomplishment.

Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men: The Coen Brothers take No Country for Old Men's bleak tone and make something provocative and chilling out of it. A slick, flat-out cool movie.

Jason Reitman - Juno: An immensely underrated directing effort, and I applaud the Academy for finally honoring it. Reitman makes something honest and meaningful out of Diabo Cody's challenging but brilliant screenplay.

Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly: Schnabel dares to do highly unconventional things with The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, the most notable being, of course, the fact that a portion of the film is seen through the main character's eyes (er...eye). A risky, but highly rewarding, directorial effort.

Joe Wright - Atonement: Wright takes an epic story, and really does make it epic. At a young age of 35, Wright has the courage to shoot abroad and use ultra-wide shots. He gets this nod to reward going all out.

and, alas...

BEST PICTURE (for elaboration, read the top 10)
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Juno
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

and the winner is....THERE WILL BE BLOOD


Now, the top 10.

10. Gone Baby Gone
A tense, emotionally taxing film. From the beginning to the climax, I found myself questioning everything about it. And then, when the shocking ending was revealed, everything fell into place. I hate most everything about Ben Affleck, but I was surprised that he was able to make such a great film. Let's have more directing and writing from him and less acting.

9. The Simpsons Movie
I'm sure that I'm extremely biased because I am the world's biggest Simpsons fan, but I was really impressed at the quality of the jokes here. It truly did mimic a classic Simpsons episode, which is certainly enough to get on my top 10.

8. Waitress
An absolutely delightful film from the (sadly) late Adrienne Shelly. Almost all modern romantic comedies have a simple formula: awkward but lovable and attractive man meets a smart, professional woman and they fall in love for some reason. Waitress, however, is much more complicated and human. A smart and very funny film.

7. Once
I've never in my life seen a movie like this. It's a comedy, it's a tragedy, it's a musical, it's a fairy tale, it's realistic fiction...and yet it's so simple. All in all, it's just a story about two friends. It's impossible to watch and not just feel good afterwards.

6. Persepolis
The animated memoirs of Marjane Satrapi, Persepolis is a truly unique film. There is nothing conventional about it; it jumps back and forward in time, it has dramatized sequences and quirky moments. However, most of all, this is just a story about coming to terms with yourself. Sometimes funny, sometimes heartbreaking, sometimes both at the same time, Persepolis is an eye-opening film.

5. Atonement
I was hesitant about seeing Atonement. When I read the book, I felt like it was wasting a phenomenal premise on a slightly-better-than-average novel. So imagine my surprise when the film adaptation was actually much better than the book. This is a beautiful, melancholy epic about lost love that is vital for anyone with an interest in art direction, cinematography, or just good movies.

4. No Country for Old Men
No Country for Old Men is probably the most talked about film of the Oscar nominees. It is receiving universal praise, yet it doesn't really have a message. No, it's just a fascinating story, and a truly entertaining one. For the first time since Chicago, the Best Picture winner is pure, moral-free fun. I just love this movie.

3. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Damn, France had an amazing year. The best word to describe The Diving Bell and the Butterfly really is "beautiful." The premise makes it sound like a well-made film, but a dull one. I'm pleased to say that it's impossible to be bored during this film. With its well-developed characters, gorgeous cinematography and direction and inspiring story, this film is really and deeply worthwhile.

2. Juno
Like No Country for Old Men, Juno is pure entertainment. However, Juno also has a ton of heart and talking points. And for simply having introduced me to my beloved Juno MacGuff, I am proud to have this film on my list. I was almost sure it would be my favorite of the year. But then...

1. There Will Be Blood
I think that this is the first time since Lord of the Rings that I have sat in a theater and witnessed cinema history. This film will be studied for ages by screenwriters, cinematographers, actors and directors. I know for a fact that it will go down as one of the greatest films of all time. The movie is nothing short of epic. Watching There Will Be Blood is like witnessing history in the making.


Well, there we have it. 2007 was an amazing year for movies!

Now, let's fast forward a week...

A Look at Best Adapted Screenplay

We are one week away from the best day of the year. Wow.

The nominees are...

Atonement
Away from Her
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

I PREDICTED: 3/5. I had Into the Wild and Zodiac in place of Atonement and Away from Her. Glad to have been wrong.
I'VE SEEN: 5/5, impressively.

ATONEMENT-The fact that the Academy's response was so positive helps its cause, however, with such stiff competition, it's unlikely.


AWAY FROM HER-A surprising nomination that will probably serve only as a Julie Christie catalyst.

THE DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY-This could upset as a consolation prize for not having been nominated for Best Picture...but when put up against the two BP frontrunners, it will more than likely fade away.

NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN-The WGA win indicates that this is the frontrunner, and the Academy will probably jump at each and every opportunity to reward No Country. Still, I'm a bit unsure about it all.

THERE WILL BE BLOOD-A very possible upset. PTA is adored in the writer's communtiy, however he doesn't have a single Oscar to his name. But taking down the beloved No Country for Old Men will be an uphill battle.

WILL WIN: No Country for Old Men
SHOULD WIN: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

IN ORDER OF LIKELINESS:
1. No Country for Old Men
2. There Will Be Blood
3. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
4. Atonement
5. Away from Her

TOMORROW: Best Original Screenplay

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

A Look at Best Film Editing

The nominees are...

The Bourne Ultimatum
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

I PREDICTED: 3/5. I had American Gangster and Michael Clayton in place of The Bourne Ultimatum and Into the Wild.
I'VE SEEN: 4/5. All but Bourne. I should probably get to seeing that.

THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM-This nod shows, if nothing else, that the Academy came much closer to nominating Bourne for some big awards than any of us imagined. However, this category tends to be a BP indicator, and without any Big 8 nods, don't count on it.

THE DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY-The editing here is strong, but, especially without a BP nod, it can't hope for all that much here...probably.

INTO THE WILD-I promised myself I wouldn't do this, but...HOW THE HELL DID THIS GET NOMINATED????????? The editing was the main problem here. This two and a half hour annoyance could have easily been cut by 45 minutes. Ugh. However, with only one Big 8 nod, it's not gonna win.

NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN-As I said earlier, this is a good BP indicator, and No Country is a lock. It'll take this with ease.

THERE WILL BE BLOOD-If something upsets No Country, this'll be it, but the odds of that happening are slim to none.

WILL WIN: No Country for Old Men
SHOULD WIN: There Will Be Blood

IN ORDER OF LIKELINESS:
1. No Country for Old Men
2. There Will Be Blood
3. The Bourne Ultimatum
4. Into the Wild
5. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

TOMORROW: Best Documentary Feature

And yay for the strike being over!!!

Sunday, February 10, 2008

2nd Annual Oscar Obsession Honors: Nominees

Before we get started, just a few things:

-The only techs I'm doing are Cinematography and Film Editing. This is not at all because the other technical areas don't deserve to be honored; it is simply because I want every film to be eligible in every category, or else have an equivalent category (unless it is an acting award). Because some tech categories do not necessarily determine the quality of every film, I'm leaving them out.

-I saw 49 films this year, HOWEVER, I went to the movie theater 35 times. I saw the additional 14 films either by renting them on DVD, or because my mom and grandmother get SAG Award consideration screeners. Trust me, I do not have the time and money to go to the movies 48 times in a year.

-I never saw Before the Devil Knows You're Dead, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford, Eastern Promises, The Savages, American Gangster, Zodiac or 4 Months, 3 Weeks & Two Days.

Let's begin with the Honorary categories. These categories do not count for the final nomination tally, as not every film is eligible for them, and the winners will be announced right here and now.

STRONGEST CATEGORY
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Imelda Staunton – Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix, Amy Ryan – Gone Baby Gone, Alison Janney – Juno, Emily Mortimer – Lars and the Real Girl, Michelle Pfeiffer – Hairspray, Adrienne Shelly – Waitress, Cheryl Hines – Waitress, Saoirse Ronan – Atonement, Olympia Dukakis – Away From Her, Kelly MacDonald – No Country for Old Men, Jennifer Garner – Juno, Tilda Swinton – Michael Clayton, Amy Adams – Charlie Wilson’s War, Vanessa Redgrave – Atonement, Julia Roberts – Charlie Wilson’s War, Marion Josee-Croze – The Diving Bell and the Butterfly and Leslie Mann – Knocked Up all gave worthy performances.

MOST UNDERRATED PERFORMANCE
Steve Carrel - Dan in Real Life
Marion Josee-Croze - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Gordon Pinsent - Away From Her
Adrienne Shelly - Waitress
Tabu - The Namesake

Winner:
MARION JOSEE-CROZE - THE DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY


BEST VOICE-OVER PERFORMANCE
Danielle Darrieux - Persepolis
Julie Kavner - The Simpsons Movie
Patton Oswald - Ratatouille

Winner:
JULIE KAVNER - THE SIMPSONS MOVIE


MOST UNDERRATED FILM
Dan in Real Life
The Simpsons Movie
Shrek the Third

Winner: Dan in Real Life

Now, onto the official awards:

BEST PREMISE
Atonement
Away From Her
Enchanted
Persepolis
There Will Be blood

BEST USE OF MUSIC IN A FILM
Hairspray
Juno
Once
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood

BEST FILM EDITING
Atonement
Juno
No Country for Old Men
Once
There Will Be Blood

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
300
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST ENDING
Gone Baby Gone
Juno
Persepolis
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood

BEST ORIGINAL CHARACTER
Giselle - Encahnted
Juno MacGuff - Juno
Vanessa Loring - Juno
Jenna - Waitress
Old Joe - Waitress

BEST CHARACTER FROM ANOTHER MEDIUM
Briony Tallis - Atonement
Jean-Dominique Bauby - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Marjane's Grandmother - Persepolis
Daniel Plainview - There Will Be Blood
Mrs. Lovett - Sweeney Todd

BEST ENSEMBLE
Juno
Knocked Up
No Country for Old Men
The Savages
Waitress

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Persepolis
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Juno
Knocked Up
The Savages
The Simpsons Movie
Waitress

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Garner - Juno
Marion Josee-Croze - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Alison Janney - Juno
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Michael Cera - Juno
Paul Dano - There Will Be Blood
Tommy Lee Jones - No Country for Old Men
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton

BEST ACTRESS
Helena Bonham Carter - Sweeney Todd
Marion Cotillard - La Vie en Rose
Ellen Page - Juno
Keri Russell - Waitress
Tabu - The Namesake

BEST ACTOR
Josh Brolin - No Country for Old Men
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Savages
James McAvoy - Atonement
Gordon Pinsent - Away From Her

BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
Jason Reitman - Juno
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Joe Wright - Atonement

And, alas...

BEST PICTURE
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Juno
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Saturday, February 9, 2008

Juno and No Country for Old Men Take the WGA

Shocking, right?

Nominees for the 2nd Annual Oscar Obsession Honors will be published (finally) tomorrow!

Final BAFTA Predix

This totally snuck up on me, but apparently the BAFTA's are tomorrow. This is really the last significant precursor until the Oscars. My final predictions are:


BEST FILM
No Country for Old Men (it'd be shocking for the Brits if Atonement lost here, but honestly, I think it'll go to No Country. Could be wrong.)

BEST BRITISH FILM
Atonement

BEST FIRST FEATURE
Matt Greenhalgh - Control

BEST DIRECTOR
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Juno

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Atonement

BEST FILM NOT IN ENGLISH
The Lives of Others (I'm saying this because it has a Best Film nod, but don't be shocked if Diving Bell and the Butterfly takes this)

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Ratatouille (this is almost surely what will happen, but the Brits do love The Simpsons...)

BEST ACTOR
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood

BEST ACTRESS
Marion Cotillard - La Vie en Rose (let's have some fun)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement (because it's Atonement. I guess?)

BEST MUSIC
Atonement

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Atonement

BEST EDITING
No Country for Old Men

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Atonement

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement


BEST SOUND
La Vie en Rose

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
The Bourne Ultimatum

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIR
La Vie en Rose

ORANGE RISING STAR AWARD
Shia LaBeouf

Well there we have it. I love the BAFTA's! They always make much more sensible choices than the other awards. Let's hope that this year is no different...

Sunday, February 3, 2008

PGA Winner

No Country for Old Men takes the Producers Guild of America.

No surprise; a further lock. Read this article by Sasha Stone over at Awards Daily, it's a great match up between two of the biggest locks of the decade.

Saturday, February 2, 2008

My Final PGA Prediction...

As we all know, the PGA is usually pretty accurate. Granted, they haven't predicted the BP winner since Lord of the Rings: Return of the King, but they do tend to pick the frontrunner for the win (except last year when the winner was, for some reason, Little Miss Sunshine). Therefore, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN should have no trouble winning top prize at this guild as well.

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Screen Actors Guild Winners

Outstanding Performance by a Cast
No Country for Old Men

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Julie Christie, Away From Her

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Ruby Dee, American Gangster

Tuesday, January 22, 2008

My Thoughts on the Nominees...

First and foremost, however, condolences to the family of Heath Ledger. Very sad news...

Best Picture

Atonement
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

The biggest surprise here is probably Atonement...however, the surprise, as usual, comes not from what is nominated, but from what isn't nominated. I was really surprised to see Into the Wild passed up in all the Big 8 categories besides Best Supporting Actor. The rest is pretty much as expected. Also; and this is just a tidbit; this is the first year where I have seen every nominated film (came close last year with 4/5). Exciting.

Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Jason Reitman, Juno
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

I'm trying to keep my thoughts on the year's films bottled up until I release my ballot, but, since I've already reviewed Juno, I will just say:

YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Jason Reitman got in! I thought that the direction was the best element of Juno; even better than the performances and screenplay. Very happy about that.

Best Actor
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Tommy Lee Jones, In the Valley of Elah
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises

Well, Johnny got in, which I guess I should have predicted. I dunno, I was just feeling a snub. Other than that, it looks pretty obvious. Wait a second...

TOMMY LEE JONES FOR IN THE VALLEY OF ELAH?????? Did anyone see that coming? I suppose it was compensating for not nomination him for No Country. Maybe? I don't know. But the Gosling and Hirsch snubs are surprising (to me at least).

Best Actress
Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie, Away from Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
Laura Linney, The Savages
Ellen Page, Juno

I've only seen two of these films (Away From Her and Juno), but I have to say that I'm pretty satisfied with these nominees. I haven't seen The Savages or A Mighty Heart, but I have to say: good for Laura Linney! Sure didn't see that coming...guess I should have listened to that last-minute buzz.

Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

Everyone was predicting a Tommy Lee Jones nomination as a last-minute surprise, but this really isn't a shocker. Bardem has this award in the bag.

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Ruby Dee, American Gangster
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

The only real surprise in this category is that Catherine Keener was snubbed in favor of either Saoirse Ronan or Ruby Dee; whichever you think. This is a pretty exciting race, because, as is now, it could really go to either Blanchett or Ryan. It would be awesome if the SAG went to Dee, Ronan or Swinton, just to screw things up.

Best Original Screenplay
Juno
Michael Clayton
Lars and the Real Girl
Ratatouille
The Savages

We all knew Ratatouille, Juno and Michael Clayton would get in. The rest was just picking two from The Savages, Lars and the Real Girl, American Gangster or Knocked Up.

Best Adapted Screenplay
Atonement
Away from Her
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
There Will Be Blood
No Country for Old Men

Away From Her is the big surprise here. Zodiac and Into the Wild being shut out certainly makes this category interesting. This will be a fun race to predict, as it could really go to No Country for Old Men just because it's the BP frontrunner, or There Will Be Blood because it is so script-heavy, and the writer's love Paul Thomas Anderson. We'll see.

Oscar Nominees!!!!

Best Picture
:: Atonement
:: Juno
:: Michael Clayton
:: No Country for Old Men
:: There Will Be Blood

Best Director
:: Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
:: Jason Reitman, Juno
:: Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
:: Ethan and Joel Coen, No Country for Old Men
:: Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood

Best Actor
:: George Clooney, Michael Clayton
:: Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
:: Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
:: Tommy Lee Jones, In the Valley of Elah
:: Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises

Best Actress
:: Cate Blanchett, The Golden Age
:: Julie Christie, Away From Her
:: Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose
:: Laura Linney, The Savages
:: Ellen Page, Juno

Best Supporting Actor
:: Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James
:: Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
:: Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
:: Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
:: Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

Best Supporting Actress
:: Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
:: Ruby Dee, American Gangster
:: Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
:: Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
:: Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

Will post reactions later. But, first off:

Yay.

Monday, January 21, 2008

David's Top 10 of 2007

To continue on this rare appearance on my behalf, I'd like to present my personal top 10 of the past year.

10. Before The Devil Knows You're Dead
9. Into The Wild
8. Michael Clayton
7. Ratatouille
6. Eastern Promises
5. The Kite Runner
4. Juno
3. Atonement
2. There Will Be Blood
1. No Country For Old Men

Honorable Mentions: Once, Sweeney Todd, 3:10 To Yuma, Knocked Up, The Diving Bell & The Butterfly

What's your top 10 of 2007?

David's Oscar Predix

Hello all! Sorry for my long absence away from the blog, but school is hell these days, I guess I don't have to tell you! But that's not gonna stop me from getting my predix in come Oscar time.

Well, to get things going, here's my final predix on who will be nominated for tomorrow's Oscar nominations announcement.

BEST PICTURE
Atonement
Into The Wild
Juno
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Joel & Ethan Coen - No Country For Old Men
Sean Penn - Into The Wild
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell & The Butterfly
Joe Wright - Atonement

BEST ACTOR
George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber Of Fleet Street
Emile Hirsch - Into The Wild
Viggo Mortensen - Eastern Promises

BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett - Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie - Away From Her
Marion Cotillard - La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page - Juno

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Casey Affleck - The Assassination Of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem - No Country For Old Men
Hal Holbrook - Into The Wild
Tommy Lee Jones - No Country For Old Men
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Catherine Keener - Into The Wild
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Before The Devil Knows You're Dead
Juno
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Atonement
The Diving Bell & The Butterfly
Into The Wild
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
12
Beaufort
The Counterfeiters
Days Of Darkness
The Year My Parents Went On Vacation

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE FILM
Autism: The Musical
The King Of Kong: A Fistful Of Quarters
No End In Sight
Sicko
War/Dance

BEST FILM EDITING
Atonement
The Bourne Ultimatum
Into The Wild
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST ART DIRECTION
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber Of Fleet Street
There Will Be Blood

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Assassination Of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell & The Butterfly
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
La Vie En Rose
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber Of Fleet Street

BEST MAKEUP
300
La Vie En Rose
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber Of Fleet Street

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement
Into The Wild
The Kite Runner
Ratatouille
There Will Be Blood

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
'That's How You Know' - Enchanted
'Grace Is Gone' - Grace Is Gone
'Come So Far (Got So Far To Go)' - Hairspray
'Guaranteed' - Into The Wild
'Falling Slowly' - Once

BEST SOUND EDITING
3:10 To Yuma
Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End
Ratatouille
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber Of Fleet Street
Transformers

BEST SOUND MIXING
300
The Bourne Ultimatum
Hairspray
No Country For Old Men
Transformers

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
300
Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End
Transformers
Final Tally:
9 - Atonement, Into The Wild
8 - There Will Be Blood, No Country For Old Men
5 - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber Of Fleet Street
4 - Michael Clayton, Ratatouille, Hairspray
3 - Juno, Elizabeth: The Golden Age, La Vie En Rose, 300, Transformers
2 - The Assassination Of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford, The Bourne Ultimatum, Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End
Tune in tomorrow to find out the results!

My FINAL Oscar Nominee Predix

This is one of my favorite days of the year: Nomination Eve. All the guesswork we've been doing since March is about to be either proven or not. Very exciting stuff.
I told all of you that I was only going to allow myself to change one nominee in my Top 5 Final Predix. However, I'm pretty confident in my predix...or so I thought I was considering taking out Michael Clayton, but I ended up keeping it in. It seems like Diving Bell and the Butterfly should be in there somewhere, but where? I decided to just leave Best Picture as it is. But, for Best Director, I am pretty sure that I will be taking out Gilroy in place of Joe Wright for Atonement. Making such a prediction might make it seem like I don't know what I'm talking about, but I simply cannot see Gliroy's name being announced tomorrow. Don't ask why...

All I hope for is that my top 3 make the cut (speaking of which...my ballot and top 10 will be published on February 3. I know that's really late for an Oscar site, but there are some contenders that won't even open in my town until February). I would say that there is a pretty good chance of that happening, but...ya never know.

Okay, here we go (because this isn't focused on winners, this will be one of the few times where nominees are listed in alphabetical order, rather than their likeliness of winning):

BEST PICTURE
Into the Wild
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson – There Will Be Blood
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen – No Country for Old Men
Sean Penn – Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel – The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Joe Wright – Atonement

BEST ACTOR
George Clooney – Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis – There Will Be Blood
Emile Hirsch – Into the Wild
Ryan Gosling – Lars and the Real Girl
Viggo Mortensen – Eastern Promises

BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett – Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie – Away From Her
Marion Cotillard – La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie – A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page – Juno

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Casey Affleck – The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem – No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman – Charlie Wilson’s War
Tommy Lee Jones – No Country for Old Men
Tom Wilkinson – Michael Clayton

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett – I’m Not There
Catherine Keener – Into the Wild
Vanessa Redgrave – Atonement
Amy Ryan – Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton – Michael Clayton

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
American Gangster
Juno
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Zodiac

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
12
Beaufort
The Counterfeiters
The Unknown
The Year My Parents Went on Vacation

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Autism: The Musical
No End in Sight
The Rape of Europa
Sicko
War/Dance

BEST FILM EDITING
American Gangster
The Diving Bell & the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
Michael Clayton
There Will Be Blood

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement
Into the Wild
The Kite Runner
Ratatouille
There Will Be Blood

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“That’s How You Know” – Enchanted
“Grace is Gone” – Grace is Gone
“Come So Far (Got So Far to Go)” – Hairspray
“Guaranteed” – Into the Wild
“Falling Slowly” – Once

BEST ART DIRECTION
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Enchanted
La Vie En Rose
Sweeney Todd

BEST MAKEUP
300
La Vie En Rose
Sweeney Todd

BEST SOUND EDITING
3:10 to Yuma
Hairspray
No Country for Old Men
Ratatouille
Transformers

BEST SOUND MIXING
300
3:10 to Yuma
Hairspray
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
300
Pirates of the
Caribbean: At World’s End
Transformers


I hope I'm able to get the nominees up tomorrow morning, but I might run into time issues...we'll see. But be sure to watch the Oscar Nominee Announcement tomorrow at 5:30 Pacific Time on...I don't know what station. It's probably on E!, so look there. If you don't have cable, then I would guess ABC because they're hosting the telecast.

Yay!