Showing posts with label Best Supporting Actress. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Best Supporting Actress. Show all posts

Saturday, March 22, 2008

First Round Predix: Best Supporting Actress

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Viola Davis, Doubt-This category is very kind towards newcomers, and diversity could be the ticket to her success--especially with 2007's all-white winners.

2. Amy Adams, Doubt-The lovely Adams will surely become an Oscar winner someday...I just hope the Academy is smart enough to wait a while. Still, there's no denying that she's a huge threat.

3. Catherine Keener, The Soloist-After very strong performances in Being John Malkovich and Capote, you could kind of say that she's overdue. My guess is that either this or Synecdoche will get her the nod.

4. Scarlett Johansson, Vicky Christina Barselona-Woody Allen will not rest until she becomes a superstar, and this sounds like a classic pretty-young-thing Allen role. The only problem is that so many people hate her (for some reason).

5. Renee Zellweger, Appaloosa-I'd like to see her make a mini-comeback, but this film could go either way for me.

IN THE RUNNING
6. Kathy Bates, Revolutionary Road-I love her and she's got tons of buzz, but I've heard her character's role in the novel is very small. That didn't hurt Ruby Dee, but I remain skeptical.

7. Cate Blanchett, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button-Lead or supporting? Either way, Cate could easily get a nomination somewhere this year just because she's Cate, but I have my doubts about this film. But, dare I say, she may get a nomination for her allegedly incredible work as the villain in Indy 4. Well...no she couldn't, but I can dream.

8. Amy Ryan, Changeling-I'm still mad she didn't win the Oscar (though Swinton is a good alternative), and I would love to see her win or at least get a nomination, but you know my feeling about the film. Why am I predicting Jolie, again?

9. Samantha Morton, Synecdoche, New York-The Academy seems to like her, and she is a very good actress, but she has a lot of competition against her own co-stars.

10. Tilda Swinton, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button/Burn After Reading-I think both of these films will be only a modest success, and even if they're huge, that could cause some vote-splitting. But who knows?

Tuesday, February 19, 2008

A Look at Best Supporting Actress

The nominees for the alleged "most confusing race of the year" are...

Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Ruby Dee - American Gangster
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton

I'VE SEEN: 4/5...or 5/5. I didn't see American Gangster, but I saw all of Ruby Dee's clips. Interpret that as you like.
I PREDICTED: 3/5. I went with Catherine Keener for Into the Wild over Dee, and I made a last minute surprise prediction and put Redgrave in over Ronan.

BLANCHETT-As usual, the most unpredictable race of the year will usually just go to the frontrunner; therefore, Blanchett will pick up her second Oscar (both in Supporting, sadly) on Sunday. I'd love to be wrong, but I'm fairly confident. Still, I suppose any of these ladies could win.


DEE-I really think people are overestimating the SAG victory. Also, as was the problem with Eddie Murphy last year, she's being predicted, but no one has proclaimed that she deserves the Oscar. The SAG was the end for her.

RONAN-I guess she could win in a Marcia Gay Harden kind of way, but, being the only actress in this lineup without any significant precursor attention, she's the default last place choice. Her age doesn't help either.

RYAN-Her winning would make me VERY happy, but the critical darling rarely beats the industry favorite.

SWINTON-With a surge of popularity and the BAFTA win, she's the most likely upset, but I doubt anyone can take the spot away from Blanchett--contrary to popular belief.

WILL WIN: Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
SHOULD WIN: Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone

IN ORDER OF LIKELINESS:
1. Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
2. Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton
3. Ruby Dee - American Gangster
4. Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
5. Saoirse Ronan - Atonement

TOMORROW: Best Supporting Actor