Brian's Final Golden Globe Predix

It's here! I'm gonna do Will Win and Runner-Up, and I'll try to remain unbiased in my predix until I post my personal picks in the 3rd Annual Oscar Obsession Honors. Anyway, here we go...

Best Picture (Drama)
Will Win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Runner-Up (Next Most Likely to Win): Slumdog Millionaire

Even though Slumdog has the whole foreign atmosphere going on, that's more a backdrop than anything else (the way Catholicism was a backdrop in Doubt). Ultimately, I think that the Globes will succumb to the weepiness and huge scope of Ben Button, but Oscar will likely take a different route.Best Picture (Musical or Comedy)
Will Win: Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Runner-Up: Happy-Go-Lucky

While the Globes don't love Allen as much as one may think, VCB's foreignness and sexiness could ultimately give it the award, but Happy-Go-Lucky could easily ride Hawkins' bandwagon in this category, and Mamma Mia! could play the musical card.Best Actor (Drama)
Will Win: Sean Penn - Milk
Runner-Up: Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler

Simply because Penn has the buzz right now. But Rourke should be able to renew the stale mate with a SAG win in a week or two.


Best Actress (Drama)
Will Win: Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Runner-Up: Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road

I would venture to say that Hathaway, Winslet and Streep all have equal chances at this point, but Hathaway is probably a hair ahead because, like Sean Penn, that's just where the buzz is at this point. Still, watch out for Winslet because she still hasn't won a GG yet, and for Streep because of her recent BFCA win (well, tie).

Best Actor (Musical or Comedy)
Will Win: Dustin Hoffman - Last Chance Harvey
Runner-Up: Javier Bardem - Vicky Cristina Barcelona

I gues Hoffman will win because this is a category where they can afford to be sentimental. But watch out for Bardem, who could win his second Golden Globe in as many years if they really like Vicky Cristina Barcelona.Best Actress (Musical or Comedy)
Will Win: Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky
Runner-Up: Meryl Streep - Mamma Mia!

Hawkins should have this in the bag, seeing as how she's the only real contender in the lineup, but I guess if they decide that they want to reward Mamma Mia and/or Streep in some way they could do it here.Best Director
Will Win: David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Runner-Up: Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire

I'm thinking this will be the first of two times tonight that Benjamin Button upsets Slumdog. But Boyle could easily pull off the win here, which would yield a BP victory for Slumdog at the end of the evening.

And the rest:

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
Runner-Up: Robert Downey, Jr. - Tropic Thunder (I guess)

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Kate Winslet - The Reader
Runner-Up: Penelope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona (VERY close)

Best Screenplay
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Runner-Up: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Best Original Score
Will Win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Runner-Up: Slumdog Millionaire

Best Original Song
Will Win: "The Wrestler" - The Wrestler
Runner-Up: "Down to Earth" - Wall-E

Best Animated Feature
Will Win: Wall-E
Runner-Up: Kung Fu Panda(?)

Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: Gomorrah
Runner-Up: Waltz With Bashir

This looks to be an exciting ceremony. What are you guys thinking will win tonight?

Are We in for a Bizarre Golden Globe Ceremony?

First post of 2009!

Lest you have blocked it from your memory, I think we all remember what the general reaction to the 2008/9 Golden Globe nominations were. The Reader over Milk? Ralph Fiennes? Tom Cruise?! And, since the remainder of the local critics have announced winners and SAG announced nominees, it seems as though people have more or less forgotten about the Globes' existence. That combined with the fact that the nominees are already strange as can be, who is to say that it won't be an evening full of bizarre upsets? Both BP categories are looking seceptible.

Best Picture (Drama)
Frontrunner: Slumdog Millionaire
Likely Upset: Revolutionary Road

Even though Slumdog screams HFPA, doesn't it feel a bit too...obvious? Revolutionary Road is just as suitable, plus they love to throw in surprises. If RR can pull off the upset (big if), then it should be guaranteed a BP nod no matter what happens, and it's looking increasingly possible by the day. Not to say that it's not still next to impossible.
Best Picture (Musical or Comedy)
Frontrunner: Happy-Go-Lucky or Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Likely Upset: Mamma Mia!

Mamma Mia! is the choice movie of British tweens, which, at times, seems to be the HFPA's demographic. The fact that VCB isn't really a comedy and that only one Allen film has won this prize before (Hannah and her Sisters) and that's looking weak, and Happy-Go-Lucky already has an award to win, and you've got a strong case for Mamma Mia! But please, please make it go away.What do you guys think? Will the Globes take a linear route, or will they be as surprising as the nominations?

1st Golden Globes Predix

DAVID

With the nominations announcement just under 3 weeks away, here's the first batch of predictions for the 66th annual Golden Globe Awards. Let's just hope there will be an actual ceremony this year...

Best Motion Picture - Drama (I'll put 6 nominees but who knows how many there will be?)
1. The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
2. Doubt
3. Frost/Nixon
4. Milk
5. The Reader
6. Revolutionary Road

Best Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. Burn After Reading
3. Happy-Go-Lucky
4. Synecdoche, New York
5. Vicky Christina Barcelona

Best Motion Picture Director
1. David Fincher - The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
2. Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
3. Clint Eastwood - Changeling
4. Sam Mendes - Revolutionary Road
5. Gus Van Sant - Milk

Best Actor - Drama
1. Sean Penn - Milk
2. Benicio Del Toro - Che
3. Leonardo DiCaprio - Revolutionary Road
4. Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
5. Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler

Best Actress - Drama
1. Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road
2. Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
3. Angelina Jolie - Changeling
4. Kristin Scott Thomas - I've Loved You So Long
5. Meryl Streep - Doubt

Best Actor - Musical/Comedy
1. Philip Seymour Hoffman - Synecdoche, New York
2. Adrien Brody - Cadillac Records
3. Josh Brolin - W.
4. Dev Patel - Slumdog Millionaire
5. Brad Pitt - Burn After Reading

Best Actress - Musical/Comedy
1. Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky
2. Elizabeth Banks - Zack And Miri Make A Porno
3. Scarlett Johansson - Vicky Christina Barcelona
4. Samantha Morton - Synecdoche, New York
5. Meryl Streep - Mamma Mia!

Best Supporting Actor
1. Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
2. Josh Brolin - Milk
3. James Franco - Milk
4. Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
5. Michael Shannon - Revolutionary Road

Best Supporting Actress
1. Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
2. Penelope Cruz - Vicky Christina Barcelona
3. Viola Davis - Doubt
4. Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler
5. Kate Winslet - The Reader

Best Screenplay
1. The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
2. Doubt
3. Happy-Go-Lucky
4. Milk
5. Revolutionary Road

Best Original Score
1. Revolutionary Road
2. Australia
3. The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
4. Doubt
5. WALL-E

Best Original Song (I'll just put three here because the shortlist hasn't been released yet)
1. WALL-E - 'Down To Earth' (Peter Gabriel)
2. Synecdoche, New York - 'Little Person' (Jon Brion)
3. The Wrestler - 'The Wrestler' (Bruce Springsteen)

Best Animated Feature Film
1. WALL-E
2. Kung Fu Panda
3. Waltz With Bashir

I'll get back on the Foreign Language Film category later once I have a better idea of the contenders. What do you think?

BRIAN

We really need some better comedy contenders...

Best Picture - Drama
1. Revolutionary Road
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Doubt (it won't do this well at the Oscars, but this is something the HFPA would love)
4. Milk
5. The Reader (not sure if TDK can make the cut here)

Best Picture - Musical or Comedy
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. Happy-Go-Lucky
3. Vicky Cristina Barcelona
4. Mamma Mia! (ugh)
5. Burn After Reading (but W. seems like something they'd love)

Best Actor - Drama
1. Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Sean Penn - Milk
3. Leonardo DiCaprio - Revolutionary Road
4. Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
5. Mickey Rourke - The Wreslter (Jenkins has to be in here too, but I don't know who to cut)

Best Actress - Drama
1. Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road
2. Cate Blanchett - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
4. Meryl Streep - Doubt
5. Kristin Scott Thomas - I've Loved You So Long (the trailer makes this look like a performance no one can ignore, but is three weeks enough time to build an audience?)

Best Actor - Musical or Comedy
1. Dev Patel - Slumdog Millionaire
2. Josh Brolin - W.
3. Dustin Hoffman - Last Chance Harvey (clearly a drama, but maybe they'll run it in this category...?)
4. Brad Pitt - Burn After Reading
5. Robert Downey, Jr. - Iron Man

Best Actress- Musical or Comedy
1. Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky
2. Meryl Streep - Mamma Mia!
3. Emma Thompson - Last Chance Harvey
4. Rebecca Hall - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
5. Sarah Jessica Parker - Sex and the City

Best Supporting Actor
1. Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
2. Michael Shannon - Revolutionary Road
3. Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
4. Josh Brolin - Milk
5. James Franco - Milk

Best Supporting Actress
1. Viola Davis - Doubt
2. Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Kate Winslet - The Reader
4. Penelope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
5. Amy Adams - Doubt

Best Director
1. David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Gus Van Sant - Milk
3. Sam Mendes - Revolutionary Road
4. Stephen Daldry - The Reader
5. Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire

Best Screenplay
1. Revolutionary Road
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Doubt
4. Slumdog Millionaire
5. Vicky Cristina Barcelona

Best Animated Film
1. WALL-E
2. Kung Fu Panda
3. Bolt

Attention Arrested Development Fans

The wheels have been set in motion for the long awaited movie based on the hit (and now cult) television series Arrested Development, one of the greatest television shows to ever air. There Will Be Golden Globes?

Oh hell yes.

Our First Anniversary/Golden Globes

It just so happens that today, the day of the Golden Globes, is also the first anniversary of Oscar Obsession. How ominous.

Anyways, the Dateline interviews start in about 10 minutes over here, which, I guess, will serve as a way for nominees to accept their awards. It'll be like the regular telecast only out of order...I hope.

Enjoy the press conference and interviews. I'll try to post my quick reactions afterwards. Happy Golden Globes :-)