BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Vanessa Redgrave-Atonement-This is by far the most confusing race so far. Vanessa Redgrave is overdue and has a great year ahead of her. We'll stick with her for now; after all, how can she give a bad performance?
2. Scarlett Johansson-The Other Boleyn Girl-She's a talented girl, and this is a good role for her.
3. Ellen Page-An American Crime-Seems like a very baity role for the young actress. Let's see what happens.
4. Julia Roberts-Charlie Wilson's War-She's not overdue for a second Oscar, contrary to popular belief, but another nomination would benefit her.
5. Evan Rachel Wood-In Bloom-The project sounds pretty good and she was snubbed for Thirteen. But, she has Across the Univese this year, also, and if that's a success, it could split votes.
8. Cate Blanchett-I'm Not There-I still think the project will bomb.
9. Kiera Knightley-Silk-An Oscar-friendly role, but the premise sounds shaky.
10. Emily Blunt-Charlie Wilson's War-Roberts is taking all the buzz.
And, just to remind everyone why she's not here, HELENA BONHAM CARTER IN SWEENEY TODD IS A LEADING ROLE! Sorry, I just have to say that every once in a while.
2. Scarlett Johansson-The Other Boleyn Girl-She's a talented girl, and this is a good role for her.
3. Ellen Page-An American Crime-Seems like a very baity role for the young actress. Let's see what happens.
4. Julia Roberts-Charlie Wilson's War-She's not overdue for a second Oscar, contrary to popular belief, but another nomination would benefit her.
5. Evan Rachel Wood-In Bloom-The project sounds pretty good and she was snubbed for Thirteen. But, she has Across the Univese this year, also, and if that's a success, it could split votes.
IN THE RUNNING
6. Natalie Portman/Rachel Weisz-My Blueberry Nights-The film sounds great, and one of the ladies will probably be nominated (most likely Weisz). But for now, we'll keep them out.
7. Nicole Kidman-His Dark Materials: The Golden Compass-Doesn't sound baity to me, but she has a lot of buzz right now.
8. Cate Blanchett-I'm Not There-I still think the project will bomb.
9. Kiera Knightley-Silk-An Oscar-friendly role, but the premise sounds shaky.
10. Emily Blunt-Charlie Wilson's War-Roberts is taking all the buzz.
And, just to remind everyone why she's not here, HELENA BONHAM CARTER IN SWEENEY TODD IS A LEADING ROLE! Sorry, I just have to say that every once in a while.
4 comments:
Do you think that Vanessa will be the only cast member of Evening nominated? the trailer seems to favour Toni collette.
I actually strongly beleive that Samantha Morton will win the Oscar for The Golden Age. They love her (surprise nominations twice now) and she is an excellent actress. I can't see how it can fail.
As long as the film doesn't bomb with critics...
i haven't updated my list for awhile, but you do have to wonder if vanessa might get nominated for one of her other performances, and perhaps another atonement member might slip in.
i could see ellen page getting a nomination if she get's the right critical support.
although i think catherine keener will get most the buzz, although her role in American Crime is leading.
I wonder if Keener will get nominated though for her work in Syndoche, NY.
I also think that Samantha Morton has a good shot for her work in Golden Age...assuming that her part is substantial enough.
Very nice predix but I noticed one important name left out of the contenders: Jennifer Jason Leigh for Margot at the Wedding. She has been picking up a lot of early buzz from test-screenings as well as people who've read the script and said her role is nicely baity. She also looks like a standout in the trailer. I wouldn't be at all surprised if Leigh ended up actually winning Supporting Actress next year. But a nomination at least looks very likely.
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