BEST ACTRESS
1. Ellen Page-Juno-I know that The Golden Age and Rendition have taught us not to jump to conclusions just because of a great trailer, but...
2. Marion Cotillard-La Vie en Rose-To my surprise, this film has only increased in buzz as time has passed. I really need to see this.
3. Keria Knightley-Atonement-Because it's Atonement.
4. Laura Linney-The Savages-My confidence in this film is fading, but it is hard to go wrong with Linney.
5. Amy Adams-Enchanted-See #1.
IN THE RUNNING
2. Marion Cotillard-La Vie en Rose-To my surprise, this film has only increased in buzz as time has passed. I really need to see this.
3. Keria Knightley-Atonement-Because it's Atonement.
4. Laura Linney-The Savages-My confidence in this film is fading, but it is hard to go wrong with Linney.
5. Amy Adams-Enchanted-See #1.
IN THE RUNNING6. Helena Bonham Carter-Sweeney Todd-She's good in anything she does, but I think that the Academy will pass on Sweeney.
7. Julie Christie-Away From Her-It's impressive and deserved that her buzz has stayed alive throughout the year, but I need precursor attention before I consider her.
8. Angelina Jolie-A Mighty Heart-Like with Christie, it's impressive that people still remember her, but the box office numbers were too weak.
9. Halle Berry-Things We Lost in the Fire-Poor Halle. She finally takes a good script in hopes of another Oscar nomination to regain her respect, and then her co-star steals the show.
10. Cate Blanchett-The Golden Age-Horrible box office and even worse reviews have thrown this once unstoppable vehicle into hopelessness. Oh well. At least she still has I'm Not There.
7. Julie Christie-Away From Her-It's impressive and deserved that her buzz has stayed alive throughout the year, but I need precursor attention before I consider her.
8. Angelina Jolie-A Mighty Heart-Like with Christie, it's impressive that people still remember her, but the box office numbers were too weak.
9. Halle Berry-Things We Lost in the Fire-Poor Halle. She finally takes a good script in hopes of another Oscar nomination to regain her respect, and then her co-star steals the show.
10. Cate Blanchett-The Golden Age-Horrible box office and even worse reviews have thrown this once unstoppable vehicle into hopelessness. Oh well. At least she still has I'm Not There.
12 comments:
Linney and Page are contenders from the same studio, both can't get in.
Yes they can.
As much as I like her I have to agree with you about Bonham-Carter. I think a lot of people hold it against her that she only acts in her husband's films. It's not exactly fair, but that's the way it is.
She's really terrific and I've enjoyed so many of her performances: Wings of a Dove, Room With a View just to name a couple. But there's a good chance that they won't acknowledge her for Sweeney.
About Cate Blanchett: Just remember Sean Penn (I am Sam) and Diane Lane (Unfaithful), oscar worthy's performances in a very bad pictures. the movie (Elizabeth: The golden age) receives most of negative reviews but no Cate, her performance is amazing and convicent... Maybe she won't win but the nomination is a big posibility.
Cate Blanchett and -minor expectactions- Samantha Morton could be nominated for her amgnificent roles...
Sean Penn and Diane Lane are both good examples of great performances in terrible films, but Cate Blanchett has a hurdle to jump that those two did not, herself. If I'm Not There didn't exist or came out next year then yes Cate would have a good shot at a nomination, however voters will award her in I'm Not There instead of The Golden Age.
Of course it could turn out that I'm Not There is just as bad as The Golden Age but then in that situation if the decide to give her a nomination would it be for playing Bob Dylan or a role she has been nominated for in the past?
My dark horse is Uma Thurman "in bloom". i read many reviews and say: She has a great performance by a teacher and mother who has demons behind her for the death of her best friend in the high school... the good thing about this, the film will open the theaters by December 7...
I believe in Julianne Moore's "Savage grace", surprise by the end of the year... Just Hilary Swank in "million dollar baby"
If any actress could pull off a miracle it is of course Cate Blanchett. I wouldn't at this point count her out of a Best Actress nod (in addition to her Supporting nod).
Mira Nair is gonna push Tabu in the competition for an Oscar nomination. The critics and people love her performance like a inmigrant mother in "The namesake". She could be the first asian and indian actress to get an academy Award Nomination for BEst Actress in a Leading Role. Finnally Fox Seachlight will make a strong campaign of promotion to Tabu for all awards season (Golden Globe, critics Choices, Independent and the Oscars
Ronan really has a better chance of being nominated for "Atonement" but we'll wait and see. I could see the Academy giving Garai a nomination but she really is inferior to Ronan.
Whoops. That belongs in Supporting Actress.
In this weak year, I think Giovanna Mezzogiorno has a change to bieng nominated to the Oscar. After the suspense to Julianne Moore and Uma Thurman... the italian actress has :
-Beauty and talent
-Status, especially outside Italy (Europe)
-Big production behind her
-Oscarish role, a suffering and optimistic heroin in love
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