Sunday, February 17, 2008

A Look at Best Adapted Screenplay

We are one week away from the best day of the year. Wow.

The nominees are...

Atonement
Away from Her
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

I PREDICTED: 3/5. I had Into the Wild and Zodiac in place of Atonement and Away from Her. Glad to have been wrong.
I'VE SEEN: 5/5, impressively.

ATONEMENT-The fact that the Academy's response was so positive helps its cause, however, with such stiff competition, it's unlikely.


AWAY FROM HER-A surprising nomination that will probably serve only as a Julie Christie catalyst.

THE DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY-This could upset as a consolation prize for not having been nominated for Best Picture...but when put up against the two BP frontrunners, it will more than likely fade away.

NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN-The WGA win indicates that this is the frontrunner, and the Academy will probably jump at each and every opportunity to reward No Country. Still, I'm a bit unsure about it all.

THERE WILL BE BLOOD-A very possible upset. PTA is adored in the writer's communtiy, however he doesn't have a single Oscar to his name. But taking down the beloved No Country for Old Men will be an uphill battle.

WILL WIN: No Country for Old Men
SHOULD WIN: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

IN ORDER OF LIKELINESS:
1. No Country for Old Men
2. There Will Be Blood
3. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
4. Atonement
5. Away from Her

TOMORROW: Best Original Screenplay

2 comments:

Cinemaniac said...

I think There Will Be Blood is looming for an upset in one category...because PTA seems likely to get a consolation prize, possibly. My assumption would be that this is the category to do so in. The Coens may have won the WGA, but that's because that one guild wanted to award them. AMPAS as a whole has four chances to reward them...are they likely to give it all to them? I'm not so sure about that.

flock said...

Like you said: Butterfly should win, but it won't