Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Jason Reitman - Juno
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
I'VE SEEN: 5/5. Yay me.
I PREDICTED: 3/5. I had Sean Penn and Joe Wright in place of Tony Gilroy and Jason Reitman. Turns out I expected Atonement to get unanticipated love in the wrong category.
ANDERSON-Seeing him win would make me very happy, but this just isn't his year. He'll probably get it someday.
COENS-Having won every valuable precursor (unless you count the GG...I don't), the Coen brothers are the odds on favorite for sure. They're really the only logical prediction at this point.
GILROY-A decent directorial effort, but he really stands no chance.
REITMAN-A highly underrated effort that I'm thrilled the Academy recognized. However, considering that just about no one expected him to get in, all this nomination does is make Juno look like a more legitimate contender in Best Actress.
SCHNABEL-Don't count him out as a HUGE upset just yet, but without a BP nod for his film, his chances are very, very slim.
WILL WIN: Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
SHOULD WIN: Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
IN ORDER OF LIKELINESS:
1. Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
2. Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
3. Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
4. Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
5. Jason Reitman - Juno
TOMORROW: Best Picture (it's almost here...)
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